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Moonshot · ChatGPT · record

As of Oct 12, 2026, Moonshot · ChatGPT is up +1.21% since Aug 31, 2026, against +1.13% for the S&P 500 over the same dates, on a $100,000 paper account — real prices, practice money.

Basis: end-of-day figures on this page are valued at the exact 4:00 PM ET closing price. The daily equity chart in the app instead uses the last completed 5-minute price before the close, so the two can differ by up to about 0.7% (about $700 on $100,000). Both are before trading costs.

Moonshot · ChatGPT: +1.21% since Aug 31, 2026 · S&P 500 +1.13% over the same dates · 244 closed trades · 58% won (paper)

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  • What you get: this bot's rulebook file (all 3 of its books) plus the free Runner app. The Runner trades it in your own Alpaca account, on your own computer. Start in paper mode; real money only if you switch it on. We never hold your money or your keys.
  • 14-day refund, no questions asked. Refund policy
  • Paper record. Every figure on this page is paper trading — simulated money, real prices, before trading costs. Your results will differ, and no future return is promised. Not financial advice. Risk disclosure · Terms
  • The file holds its rules as they are today. They have been rewritten 15 times since Aug 31, 2026, so they are not the exact rules behind every trade on this page.

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Paper trading · real market prices · trading since Aug 31, 2026 · updated Oct 12, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Part of ChatGPT's bots on the Arena. Its rulebook rewrites are proposed by ChatGPT GPT-6 Sol.

Rulebook rewrites proposed by GPT-6 Sol since Sep 28, 2026 (GPT-5.6 before). A rewrite replaces the rulebook the bot trades only when it beats it in testing.

Moonshot · ChatGPT · since start · paper+1.21%
S&P 500 · same dates+1.13%

That's 0.08 points ahead of the S&P 500 (+1.13%) over the same dates.

About 54% of the account was invested on average (Sep 1 – Oct 13); returns count the whole account, including cash. The S&P 500 is fully invested.

verdict expected ~Oct 2, 2026

Our highest-risk experiment: up to 4 big bets on cheap, fast-moving stocks and leveraged funds, only after fresh news, and it lets its winners run.

Since start, in numbers

Since-start return (paper)+1.21%started Aug 31, 35 days after the first bots
S&P 500 over the same dates+1.13%
Share of the account invested, on averageabout 54% Sep 1 – Oct 13; the S&P 500 is fully invested
Trades that won (paper)58% 142 of 244 closed trades
Trades that lost (paper)41% 99 of 244 closed trades; 3 closed flat
Average winning trade+1.8% before trading costs
Average losing trade−2.3% before trading costs
This month-2.17%
This week-0.83%
Today-0.83%
Worst drop from a high since start6.80%
Account value (paper)$101,209
Trading rules3 rulebooks · up to 4 stocks · up to 40% in bets on falls · leveraged funds too

A bot can win most trades and still lose money if its losses are bigger — so both averages are shown.

Account value, by date

Moonshot · ChatGPT (paper)S&P 500, same dates

Both lines start at 0% on Aug 31, 2026, just before its first trade, so +10% means 10% above where it started. One point per daily close, spaced by date.

How it did it

Since Aug 31, 2026, Moonshot · ChatGPT has closed 244 trades: 142 finished up and 99 finished down. Its paper account is up +1.21%; the S&P 500 did +1.13% over the same dates. Paper trading on real prices; every figure here is before trading costs.

Month by month

DatesThis bot (paper)S&P 500, same datesTrades closed
Aug 31 – Aug 31+0.00%-0.30%00 up, 0 down
Sep 2 – Sep 30+3.46%-0.58%15998 up, 60 down
Oct 1 – Oct 12so far-2.17%+2.03%8544 up, 39 down

Each row runs from the previous row's last daily close (the first from its $100,000 start) to its own last daily close, and the S&P 500 is measured over exactly the same stretch. The market backdrop matters: a rulebook that shines in one stretch can stall in the next.

The 5 biggest winners

StockClosedResultDollars
MSTUSep 18, 2026+9.56%+$1,541
MSTXSep 18, 2026+9.06%+$1,464
TSLQSep 22, 2026+6.81%+$1,104
AMDLSep 16, 2026+6.61%+$1,069
UECSep 14, 2026+6.58%+$1,053

These 5 trades made $6,231 together — 373% of the $1,670 its 244 closed trades made in all. So the overall result leans on a handful of trades.

The 5 biggest losers

StockClosedResultDollars
CIFRSep 14, 2026-11.00%−$1,802
CONLSep 15, 2026-10.62%−$1,721
SOXLSep 28, 2026-10.54%−$1,562
MSTUSep 15, 2026-9.07%−$1,460
CONLSep 15, 2026-8.61%−$1,416

It closed 99 trades at a loss, on average -2.33% each.

Its rules, in plain words

  • ChatGPT writes its rulebooks and proposes rewrites; a rewrite replaces a rulebook only when it beats it in testing. Its rulebooks have been rewritten 15 times since Aug 31, 2026.
  • It runs 3 rulebooks side by side — a fast one, a medium one and a slow one, each reading a different chart speed.
  • It can hold up to 4 stocks at once.
  • Its rules allow bets on a fall (a “short”) with up to 40% of the account.
  • Its average trade lasted 13.3 hours (about 0.6 days). In the last 5 trading days, 54 of its trades opened and closed on the same day.
  • Its winners averaged +1.79% and its losers -2.33%, before trading costs.
  • How its 244 closed trades ended: 148 were closed by its own sell rule; 39 hit their stop-loss; 34 hit a trailing stop (a stop that moves with the price to lock in gains); 22 ran out of time (the rule's holding limit); 1 sold part of the position at a price target.

Every closed trade

All 244 closed trades, newest first. All dates are 2026, Eastern time. “Bet”: Rise = bought, hoping the price goes up; Fall = a short, betting it goes down. Results are before trading costs. The exit reason is printed exactly as the engine recorded it. It is holding 4 open positions right now (NIO, AI, SOXS, TSLL); they join this list when they close.

ClosedOpenedStockBetResultDollarsExit reason
Oct 12Oct 12NVAXRise+1.04%+$171sell-signal
Oct 12Oct 12FCELRise-6.09%−$1,011sell-signal
Oct 12Oct 12AMCRise+2.60%+$431sell-signal
Oct 12Oct 9BITXRise-0.05%−$9sell-signal
Oct 12Oct 9MSTURise-0.33%−$55sell-signal
Oct 12Oct 9TSLLRise-1.15%−$191time
Oct 12Oct 9TSLQFall-2.00%−$204stop
Oct 9Oct 9RXRXRise+1.53%+$254sell-signal
Oct 9Oct 9BBFall+0.06%+$6time
Oct 9Oct 9OPENRise-1.07%−$178sell-signal
Oct 9Oct 8UVXYRise-1.47%−$275sell-signal
Oct 9Oct 9TSLQFall-1.10%−$113time
Oct 9Oct 9SOXLFall+4.90%+$503time
Oct 9Oct 9LABDRise+1.97%+$327trailing-stop
Oct 9Oct 9CONLFall-3.92%−$402stop
Oct 9Oct 8LABDRise-6.51%−$1,094sell-signal
Oct 9Oct 8RIGRise+0.67%+$139sell-signal
Oct 9Oct 8RIOTFall+0.82%+$84time
Oct 8Oct 8RXRXRise+1.31%+$219sell-signal
Oct 8Oct 8WULFFall-2.82%−$291stop
Oct 8Oct 8LUNRFall+1.02%+$106time
Oct 8Oct 8OPEN—+0.00%+$0sell-signal
Oct 8Oct 8LABUFall-3.50%−$364stop
Oct 8Oct 8FCELRise-4.56%−$772sell-signal
Oct 8Oct 8MSTUFall+0.96%+$100trailing-stop
Oct 8Oct 8MSTXFall+1.00%+$104trailing-stop
Oct 8Oct 8OPENRise+1.21%+$205trailing-stop
Oct 8Oct 7TSLQRise+1.00%+$169sell-signal
Oct 8Oct 7LUNRFall+2.71%+$284sell-signal
Oct 8Oct 7NOKRise-2.40%−$501sell-signal
Oct 8Oct 7BITXRise-3.23%−$569sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 7JOBYFall-1.28%−$134stop
Oct 7Oct 7TZARise+0.28%+$59sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 7RIOTFall-1.16%−$121sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 7FCELRise+0.11%+$19sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 7NOKRise+0.85%+$169sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 7BITXRise+0.81%+$137sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 6FNGURise-0.44%−$93sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 7UVXYFall+0.15%+$16time
Oct 7Oct 6NXERise-5.34%−$1,140sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 7FCELRise+1.29%+$218trailing-stop
Oct 7Oct 6LABURise-0.91%−$159sell-signal
Oct 7Oct 6FCELRise-1.18%−$179trailing-stop
Oct 6Oct 6RIG—+0.00%+$0sell-signal
Oct 6Oct 6NVAXRise-2.40%−$416sell-signal
Oct 6Oct 6GMERise-0.89%−$180sell-signal
Oct 6Oct 5SOUNRise-0.34%−$71sell-signal
Oct 6Oct 5NVAXRise-0.63%−$106trailing-stop
Oct 6Oct 5RXRXRise+1.57%+$237trailing-stop
Oct 6Oct 5NOKRise+1.03%+$219sell-signal
Oct 5Oct 5NVAXRise+0.61%+$93trailing-stop
Oct 5Oct 5BITXRise+0.88%+$150sell-signal
Oct 5Oct 5LUNRFall+0.42%+$44time
Oct 5Oct 5CONLRise+1.68%+$288sell-signal
Oct 5Oct 5FCELRise-0.11%−$19sell-signal
Oct 5Oct 5RGTIFall-0.57%−$60time
Oct 5Oct 5NOKRise-2.39%−$503sell-signal
Oct 5Oct 2NVDLRise+1.15%+$173trailing-stop
Oct 5Oct 5TSLLRise+5.98%+$1,022sell-signal
Oct 5Oct 2SQQQRise-0.54%−$106time
Oct 5Oct 2TZARise+0.05%+$11time
Oct 5Oct 2BULZRise-0.09%−$16sell-signal
Oct 2Oct 2BTBTRise-1.74%−$297sell-signal
Oct 2Oct 2WULFRise+0.65%+$111sell-signal
Oct 2Oct 2LUNRRise+0.23%+$39sell-signal
Oct 2Oct 1UVXYRise-1.99%−$341sell-signal
Oct 2Oct 2LABDRise+4.35%+$737sell-signal
Oct 2Oct 2NXEFall+0.06%+$6time
Oct 2Oct 2UUUUFall+0.64%+$67trailing-stop
Oct 2Oct 2LABDRise+0.42%+$70trailing-stop
Oct 2Oct 1AEVARise+2.25%+$382sell-signal
Oct 2Oct 1PLUGRise+0.94%+$159sell-signal
Oct 2Oct 1NXEFall-1.91%−$199stop
Oct 1Oct 1SOXSFall+1.16%+$121trailing-stop
Oct 1Oct 1TSLQRise+0.58%+$97sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1FNGURise+2.40%+$409sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1JOBYFall-0.63%−$65sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1RXRXRise-0.30%−$50sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1AIRise+2.08%+$351sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1AMDLRise+1.32%+$221sell-signal
Oct 1Sep 25RGTIRise-8.89%−$1,312sell-signal
Oct 1Sep 30FNGURise-3.55%−$728sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1RXRXRise+0.05%+$9trailing-stop
Oct 1Sep 30BBRise-0.16%−$28sell-signal
Oct 1Sep 30TQQQRise-0.30%−$63sell-signal
Sep 30Sep 30LABDRise-2.96%−$502sell-signal
Sep 30Sep 30AMDLRise+2.88%+$487sell-signal
Sep 30Sep 30TSLLFall-2.30%−$239time
Sep 30Sep 29TZARise-1.26%−$261sell-signal
Sep 30Sep 30NVAXRise+3.64%+$617sell-signal
Sep 30Sep 29PLUGRise+1.82%+$307sell-signal
Sep 30Sep 29FCELRise+1.06%+$179sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 29AMCRise-4.67%−$789sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 29MSTXRise+2.31%+$391sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 29BBRise+0.37%+$63sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 29SQQQRise+0.83%+$167sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 29MSTUFall+7.77%+$401time
Sep 29Sep 29BBRise+1.01%+$176trailing-stop
Sep 29Sep 29MSTUFall+5.62%+$290partial-target
Sep 29Sep 29CONLFall+1.11%+$115trailing-stop
Sep 29Sep 28NVDLRise+1.61%+$267sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 28SOXLRise+3.84%+$635sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 28AMDLRise+1.41%+$233sell-signal
Sep 28Sep 28LABDRise+0.07%+$12sell-signal
Sep 28Sep 28SOXSRise+0.15%+$24sell-signal
Sep 28Sep 28RIOTRise+1.04%+$172sell-signal
Sep 28Sep 28AMDLRise-3.55%−$593sell-signal
Sep 28Sep 28NVAXRise+2.76%+$453sell-signal
Sep 28Sep 28GMEFall+1.14%+$117time
Sep 28Sep 25SOXLRise-10.54%−$1,562stop
Sep 28Sep 25LABDRise+2.25%+$379sell-signal
Sep 28Sep 25HIVERise+0.49%+$82trailing-stop
Sep 25Sep 25LABURise-0.07%−$12sell-signal
Sep 25Sep 25MARAFall+0.93%+$151time
Sep 25Sep 25RXRXRise+1.46%+$242sell-signal
Sep 25Sep 25LABURise+1.90%+$316sell-signal
Sep 25Sep 25AEVARise+4.20%+$699sell-signal
Sep 24Sep 24NVDDRise+0.14%+$28sell-signal
Sep 24Sep 23CHWYFall-1.44%−$237stop
Sep 23Sep 23LABUFall-1.93%−$318stop
Sep 23Sep 23PATHFall-2.50%−$414stop
Sep 22Sep 22WEBLRise-0.68%−$137sell-signal
Sep 22Sep 22RIVNFall+0.03%+$5sell-signal
Sep 22Sep 22LABDFall+1.44%+$236time
Sep 22Sep 18TZARise-4.32%−$877time
Sep 22Sep 18LCIDRise+4.26%+$701time
Sep 22Sep 18TSLQFall+6.81%+$1,104sell-signal
Sep 22Sep 18AIRise+4.35%+$730time
Sep 18Sep 18LABDRise+0.27%+$45sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 18PATHFall-0.11%−$18sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 18TSLLRise+0.65%+$107sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 18QUBTRise+0.54%+$98sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 18RGTIRise-3.61%−$602sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 18ACHRFall-0.19%−$30sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 18QBTSRise-4.84%−$807sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 18NVAXRise+0.99%+$166sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 17BULZRise+1.02%+$171sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 17MSTURise+9.56%+$1,541sell-signal
Sep 18Sep 17MSTXRise+9.06%+$1,464sell-signal
Sep 17Sep 17TSLLRise+0.19%+$31sell-signal
Sep 17Sep 17MSTURise+1.16%+$186trailing-stop
Sep 17Sep 17RXRXRise+1.15%+$185sell-signal
Sep 17Sep 17TSLQFall-1.00%−$158sell-signal
Sep 17Sep 17TZARise-0.66%−$111sell-signal
Sep 17Sep 16SOXLRise+5.32%+$838sell-signal
Sep 17Sep 16RIOTRise+4.94%+$779sell-signal
Sep 17Sep 16AMDLRise+4.01%+$632sell-signal
Sep 16Sep 16MSTURise-0.56%−$88sell-signal
Sep 16Sep 16SOXSRise-1.01%−$161sell-signal
Sep 16Sep 16AIRise+1.72%+$273sell-signal
Sep 16Sep 16UVXYFall+0.11%+$17sell-signal
Sep 16Sep 16UVXYFall+0.08%+$13sell-signal
Sep 16Sep 15MSTURise+1.40%+$226trailing-stop
Sep 16Sep 15AMDLRise+6.61%+$1,069sell-signal
Sep 16Sep 15NVAXRise+0.81%+$127sell-signal
Sep 16Sep 15NOKFall-5.18%−$810stop
Sep 15Sep 15MSTURise-9.07%−$1,460stop
Sep 15Sep 15CONLRise-10.62%−$1,721stop
Sep 15Sep 15BITXRise+0.91%+$146trailing-stop
Sep 15Sep 15XPEVFall-0.92%−$146stop
Sep 15Sep 15NVDDRise+0.53%+$104sell-signal
Sep 15Sep 14TLRYRise-3.24%−$652sell-signal
Sep 15Sep 15MSTXRise+1.65%+$267trailing-stop
Sep 15Sep 14QBTSRise-1.17%−$194sell-signal
Sep 15Sep 14ACHRFall-0.64%−$103sell-signal
Sep 15Sep 14CONLRise-8.61%−$1,416trailing-stop
Sep 14Sep 14SQQQRise-0.68%−$139sell-signal
Sep 14Sep 14HIVERise+2.39%+$389sell-signal
Sep 14Sep 14BTBTRise+0.65%+$106trailing-stop
Sep 14Sep 14LABDFall+2.32%+$374time
Sep 14Sep 14NVAXRise+1.46%+$240sell-signal
Sep 14Sep 14HIVERise+0.86%+$140trailing-stop
Sep 14Sep 14BTBTRise+2.01%+$326trailing-stop
Sep 14Sep 11BITXRise-0.09%−$14sell-signal
Sep 14Sep 11MSTURise-1.63%−$267sell-signal
Sep 14Sep 11CIFRRise-11.00%−$1,802stop
Sep 14Sep 11UECFall+6.58%+$1,053sell-signal
Sep 11Sep 11TZARise+1.49%+$299sell-signal
Sep 11Sep 11MSTURise+0.44%+$70trailing-stop
Sep 11Sep 11LABDRise+2.37%+$388sell-signal
Sep 11Sep 11NVDDRise+0.31%+$63sell-signal
Sep 11Sep 10MSTXFall-0.69%−$110sell-signal
Sep 11Sep 10SOXLRise+1.54%+$249sell-signal
Sep 11Sep 10RIOTRise+1.90%+$308sell-signal
Sep 11Sep 10BTBTRise+1.94%+$315sell-signal
Sep 10Sep 10PLUGRise-0.33%−$53sell-signal
Sep 10Sep 10RIOTRise-1.13%−$183stop
Sep 10Sep 10SOXSRise+0.90%+$146sell-signal
Sep 10Sep 10SOXLFall+0.35%+$55sell-signal
Sep 10Sep 10NVAXRise+0.76%+$124sell-signal
Sep 10Sep 10BITXRise+0.03%+$5sell-signal
Sep 10Sep 10RIOTRise+1.89%+$303trailing-stop
Sep 10Sep 10MSTXRise+1.39%+$226trailing-stop
Sep 10Sep 10NVAXRise+0.82%+$131trailing-stop
Sep 10Sep 10CONLFall+0.49%+$77trailing-stop
Sep 10Sep 10MSTXRise+1.41%+$226trailing-stop
Sep 10Sep 9CORZRise-4.06%−$664stop
Sep 10Sep 10RIOTRise-0.12%−$19stop
Sep 10Sep 9SPCERise-2.62%−$484stop
Sep 9Sep 9BTBTRise+1.54%+$249sell-signal
Sep 9Sep 9DNNRise-1.58%−$298stop
Sep 9Sep 9LABDRise+1.46%+$236sell-signal
Sep 9Sep 9WULFRise+0.41%+$66sell-signal
Sep 9Sep 9RXRXRise-3.57%−$587sell-signal
Sep 9Sep 9PLUGRise-4.19%−$683sell-signal
Sep 9Sep 9LABURise-2.28%−$374sell-signal
Sep 9Sep 9LABURise+1.06%+$172trailing-stop
Sep 9Sep 8QUBTRise-1.13%−$199sell-signal
Sep 9Sep 8WEBLRise+0.44%+$89sell-signal
Sep 9Sep 8TSLQRise-3.26%−$536sell-signal
Sep 8Sep 8JOBYRise-0.22%−$44sell-signal
Sep 8Sep 8TSLLRise+0.25%+$42sell-signal
Sep 8Sep 8NVDLRise-0.51%−$84sell-signal
Sep 8Sep 8CONLRise+1.07%+$172sell-signal
Sep 8Sep 8RXRX—+0.00%+$0sell-signal
Sep 8Sep 8LCIDRise+1.62%+$266sell-signal
Sep 8Sep 8RXRXRise+0.76%+$125trailing-stop
Sep 8Sep 4SOFIRise-0.19%−$39time
Sep 8Sep 4AEVARise+3.63%+$595sell-signal
Sep 8Sep 4AMCRise-3.21%−$527stop
Sep 4Sep 4NVDLRise+0.23%+$37sell-signal
Sep 4Sep 4QBTSRise-0.96%−$195stop
Sep 4Sep 4AMCRise-0.92%−$151stop
Sep 4Sep 4TSLLRise+0.79%+$129sell-signal
Sep 4Sep 4AMCRise-0.38%−$62stop
Sep 4Sep 4NVDLRise-1.55%−$255stop
Sep 4Sep 4MSTXRise+5.94%+$960sell-signal
Sep 4Sep 4MSTURise+5.81%+$938sell-signal
Sep 4Sep 4CONLRise+1.80%+$289stop
Sep 4Sep 4WEBLRise-1.71%−$343stop
Sep 4Sep 4MSTURise-0.91%−$148stop
Sep 4Sep 4MSTXRise-0.99%−$161stop
Sep 4Sep 4MSTXRise+1.89%+$306stop
Sep 4Sep 4MSTURise+1.81%+$292stop
Sep 4Sep 4MSTURise-2.45%−$398stop
Sep 4Sep 4MSTXRise-2.58%−$417stop
Sep 4Sep 3RXRXRise+1.02%+$161sell-signal
Sep 3Sep 3CORZRise+2.09%+$301stop
Sep 3Sep 3AMCRise-5.22%−$743stop
Sep 3Sep 3BTBTRise+6.71%+$906stop
Sep 3Sep 2AMCRise+0.94%+$134trailing-stop
Sep 2Sep 1TLRYRise-2.04%−$343stop
Sep 2Sep 2SPCERise+0.85%+$159stop
Sep 2Sep 2RXRXRise-2.69%−$413stop

Questions about Moonshot · ChatGPT

How has Moonshot · ChatGPT done against the S&P 500?
As of Oct 12, 2026, Moonshot · ChatGPT is up +1.21% since it started on Aug 31, 2026. The S&P 500 did +1.13% over the same dates, so it is 0.08 points ahead. It has closed 244 trades, and 58% of them made money. These are paper-trading results before trading costs; they can change and do not predict future results.
Is Moonshot · ChatGPT trading real money?
No. It trades a $100,000 paper account: real market prices, simulated money.
Which AI writes Moonshot · ChatGPT's rules?
ChatGPT GPT-6 Sol proposes its rulebook rewrites. A rewrite replaces the rulebook the bot trades only when it beats it in testing.
Can I run Moonshot · ChatGPT myself?
Yes. Its rulebook file costs $40 one-time on the store (a founder discount applies while seats last). You run it with the free Runner app in your own Alpaca account, in paper mode first; real money only if you choose. There is a 14-day refund. Your results will differ from this record.

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