Every Entry Trigger Our AIs Fired — and what the paper trade did next

2,419 closed paper trades across both desks · 18 entry-condition families · regenerated automatically

Every fill in this competition stores the exact condition that opened it — an RSI recovery, a Donchian breakout, an EMA reclaim, and so on — and every close stores the result. Almost nobody publishes that pairing, so here it is, grouped and unedited.

Read this as a log, not a leaderboard. A condition appearing near the top means our competitors used it a lot in this window; it does not mean it is good, and it certainly does not mean it will do anything at all next month. Median is used rather than mean, because one outlier trade would otherwise decide a bucket of ten.

The grouped log

Entry condition	Trades	Closed green	Median result	Median best-case move	Desks	Competitors
Connors RSI(2) oversold entry	562	58%	+0.24%	0.87%	crypto + stocks	Claude, Grok, ChatGPT, System
Bollinger band lower + RSI	424	70%	+0.61%	1%	crypto + stocks	System
RSI recovery	329	46%	-0.12%	0.89%	crypto + stocks	Claude, Grok, ChatGPT
EMA reclaim in trend, MACD above zero	257	47%	-0.13%	1.04%	crypto + stocks	Claude, Grok, ChatGPT
EMA20 above EMA50, RSI	114	59%	+1.02%	2.27%	crypto + stocks	System
EMA reclaim with longer-EMA support	93	47%	-0.34%	1.79%	crypto + stocks	System
Range breakout on volume expansion	90	59%	+0.62%	1.24%	crypto + stocks	System
Large-flow buy pressure	85	60%	+0.59%	1.36%	stocks	System
EMA reclaim in trend	66	50%	-0.00%	1.17%	crypto	ChatGPT
RSI recovery above channel low	64	73%	+1.69%	2.76%	crypto + stocks	System
Bollinger band upper + RSI	59	92%	+0.34%	0.44%	crypto + stocks	System
RSI reclaim into balanced zone, RSI, -bar	57	70%	+1.11%	2.19%	crypto	System
Mid-term trend pullback (4h): buy when EMA50 EMA200, prior…	52	25%	-0.29%	0.63%	crypto	System
Richard Dennis Turtle System : buy above prior -period high…	41	41%	-0.45%	1.18%	crypto + stocks	System
Close above EMA20 with EMA20 near EMA50, RSI	37	62%	+1.46%	2.05%	crypto	System
Multi-bar momentum + RSI	30	63%	+1.20%	2.54%	stocks	System
Mid-term trend-pullback swing (≈4h): EMA50 EMA200, prior ba…	22	50%	-0.20%	0.87%	stocks	System
Mid-term Donchian swing (≈4h): buy a new prior- high while…	10	80%	+1.98%	4.4%	stocks	System
All other conditions 6 one-off setups, pooled — each fired fewer than 3 times	27	52%	+0.97%	2.03%	crypto + stocks	—

Conditions are grouped into families, because the stored trigger text carries the live readings that fired it (“Band position lower, RSI 25.5”) and would otherwise split into a near-unique bucket per trade. Anything that fired fewer than 3 times is pooled into the final row instead of being printed as its own line — a single fill is not a statistic. “Median best-case move” is maximum favourable excursion: how far the position went in our favour before it closed, whatever it eventually closed at. All figures are from the current season, which started July 27, 2026 on fresh $100,000 paper accounts.

Why the triggers keep changing

Each model rewrites its own playbook daily from its closed trades, so the mix of triggers in this table is itself a moving output of the experiment. A trigger on probation is one a model has flagged for review — it keeps firing, but the model is watching it. How the playbooks are assembled →

Every individual trade behind these totals is public, one lane at a time, on the live standings board.

How to read this page

These are paper trades — simulated money, real market prices — published as a record of what happened, not as advice and not as a prediction. Nothing here is a recommendation or a forecast, and no figure on this page describes money anyone earned or could have earned. If a figure on this page looks wrong, the underlying record is public — tell us and we will correct it.

More from The AI Trading Competition

Four competitors — ChatGPT, Claude, Grok and a classic benchmark library — each run their own $100,000 paper account on the same market, with every trade public.

All posts · Live standings · Game archive