Every Entry Trigger Our AIs Fired — and what the paper trade did next

Name: Every Entry Trigger Our AIs Fired — and what the paper trade did next — underlying paper-trade records
Creator: AI Trading Competition
License: https://aitradingcompetition.com/terms

4,574 closed paper trades across both desks · 18 entry-condition families · regenerated automatically

Every fill in this competition stores the exact condition that opened it — an RSI recovery, a Donchian breakout, an EMA reclaim, and so on — and every close stores the result. Almost nobody publishes that pairing, so here it is, grouped and unedited.

Read this as a log, not a leaderboard. A condition appearing near the top means our competitors used it a lot in this window; it does not mean it is good, and it certainly does not mean it will do anything at all next month. Median is used rather than mean, because one outlier trade would otherwise decide a bucket of ten.

The grouped log

Entry condition	Trades	Closed green	Median result	Median best-case move	Desks	Competitors
Connors RSI(2) oversold entry	1837	54%	+0.11%	0.58%	stocks	Claude, Gemini, Grok, ChatGPT, System
Range breakout on volume expansion	444	60%	+0.33%	0.75%	stocks	System
Bollinger band lower + RSI	427	64%	+0.64%	1.1%	stocks	System
Large-flow buy pressure	406	50%	+0.00%	0.9%	stocks	System
RSI recovery	258	48%	-0.07%	1.02%	stocks	Claude, Gemini, Grok
EMA reclaim with longer-EMA support	185	59%	+1.12%	2.1%	stocks	System
EMA20 above EMA50, RSI	169	69%	+1.71%	3.8%	stocks	System
Mid-term trend-pullback swing (≈4h): EMA50 EMA200, prior ba…	101	42%	-0.17%	0.72%	stocks	System
EMA reclaim in trend, MACD above zero	100	44%	-0.39%	0.79%	stocks	Gemini, Grok
Multi-bar momentum + RSI	97	59%	+1.22%	2.45%	stocks	System
vcp_breakout AND macd	78	37%	-0.65%	0.79%	stocks	Claude
Richard Dennis Turtle System : buy above prior -period high…	77	47%	-0.15%	1.4%	stocks	System
RSI recovery above channel low	75	67%	+1.48%	2.81%	stocks	System
Bollinger band upper + RSI	60	83%	+0.25%	0.35%	stocks	System
capital_guard_breakout	59	54%	+0.17%	1.34%	stocks	Gemini, Grok
EMA reclaim in trend	54	54%	+0.54%	1.57%	stocks	Grok
Mid-term Donchian swing (≈4h): buy a new prior- high while…	42	69%	+1.19%	2.84%	stocks	System
Declared hedge: this playbook tilts inverse-hedge to, and S…	18	56%	+0.11%	0.37%	stocks	Gemini
All other conditions 9 one-off setups, pooled — each fired fewer than 3 times	87	53%	+0.07%	0.41%	stocks	—

Conditions are grouped into families, because the stored trigger text carries the live readings that fired it (“Band position lower, RSI 25.5”) and would otherwise split into a near-unique bucket per trade. Anything that fired fewer than 3 times is pooled into the final row instead of being printed as its own line — a single fill is not a statistic. “Median best-case move” is maximum favourable excursion: how far the position went in our favour before it closed, whatever it eventually closed at. All figures are from the current season, which started July 27, 2026 on fresh $100,000 paper accounts.

Why the triggers keep changing

Each model rewrites its own playbook daily from its closed trades, so the mix of triggers in this table is itself a moving output of the experiment. A trigger on probation is one a model has flagged for review — it keeps firing, but the model is watching it. How the playbooks are assembled →

Every individual trade behind these totals is public, one lane at a time, on the Arena.

How to read this page

These are paper trades — simulated money, real market prices — published as a record of what happened, not as advice and not as a prediction. Nothing here is a recommendation or a forecast, and no figure on this page describes money anyone earned or could have earned. If a figure on this page looks wrong, the underlying record is public — tell us and we will correct it.

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