Five Stock Expert · Claude · record
As of Oct 12, 2026, Five Stock Expert · Claude is down -4.98% since Sep 10, 2026, against +2.05% for the S&P 500 over the same dates, on a $100,000 paper account — real prices, practice money.
Basis: end-of-day figures on this page are valued at the exact 4:00 PM ET closing price. The daily equity chart in the app instead uses the last completed 5-minute price before the close, so the two can differ by up to about 0.7% (about $700 on $100,000). Both are before trading costs.
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Five Stock Expert · Claude · since start · paper-4.98%
S&P 500 · same dates+2.05%
That's 7.03 points behind the S&P 500 (+2.05%) over the same dates.
About 49% of the account was invested on average (Sep 11 – Oct 13); returns count the whole account, including cash. The S&P 500 is fully invested.
verdict expected ~Dec 10, 2026
Trades only five stocks, picked because they move a lot, trade heavily and don't move in step, and studies ten years of their own price history.
Since start, in numbers
| Since-start return (paper) | -4.98%started Sep 10, 45 days after the first bots |
| S&P 500 over the same dates | +2.05% |
| Share of the account invested, on average | about 49% Sep 11 – Oct 13; the S&P 500 is fully invested |
| Trades that won (paper) | 54% 89 of 166 closed trades |
| Trades that lost (paper) | 46% 77 of 166 closed trades |
| Average winning trade | +2.1% before trading costs |
| Average losing trade | −2.6% before trading costs |
| This month | -2.97% |
| This week | -1.08% |
| Today | -1.08% |
| Worst drop from a high since start | 5.35% |
| Account value (paper) | $95,016 |
| Trading rules | 3 rulebooks · up to 5 stocks · up to 80% in bets on falls |
A bot can win most trades and still lose money if its losses are bigger — so both averages are shown.
Account value, by date
−4%−2%0%+2%Sep 10Oct 1Oct 12−5.0%+2.1%
Five Stock Expert · Claude (paper)S&P 500, same dates
Both lines start at 0% on Sep 10, 2026, just before its first trade, so +10% means 10% above where it started. One point per daily close, spaced by date.
How it did it
Since Sep 10, 2026, Five Stock Expert · Claude has closed 166 trades: 89 finished up and 77 finished down. Its paper account is down -4.98%; the S&P 500 did +2.05% over the same dates. Paper trading on real prices; every figure here is before trading costs.
Month by month
| Dates | This bot (paper) | S&P 500, same dates | Trades closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10 – Sep 30 | -2.08% | +0.03% | 9349 up, 44 down |
| Oct 1 – Oct 12so far | -2.97% | +2.03% | 7340 up, 33 down |
Each row runs from the previous row's last daily close (the first from its $100,000 start) to its own last daily close, and the S&P 500 is measured over exactly the same stretch. The market backdrop matters: a rulebook that shines in one stretch can stall in the next.
The 5 biggest winners
| Stock | Closed | Result | Dollars |
|---|---|---|---|
| FPS | Sep 22, 2026 | +17.27% | +$829 |
| FPS | Sep 17, 2026 | +15.99% | +$767 |
| BE | Sep 29, 2026 | +6.55% | +$644 |
| CRWD | Sep 18, 2026 | +5.12% | +$598 |
| AXTI | Oct 9, 2026 | +5.08% | +$578 |
The 5 biggest losers
| Stock | Closed | Result | Dollars |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMTC | Sep 14, 2026 | -8.30% | −$877 |
| FRO | Sep 22, 2026 | -10.26% | −$789 |
| INTC | Oct 8, 2026 | -7.94% | −$776 |
| DDOG | Sep 28, 2026 | -5.93% | −$705 |
| AXTI | Oct 8, 2026 | -5.78% | −$670 |
It closed 77 trades at a loss, on average -2.65% each.
Its rules, in plain words
- Claude writes its rulebooks and proposes rewrites; a rewrite replaces a rulebook only when it beats it in testing. Its rulebooks have been rewritten 31 times since Sep 10, 2026.
- It runs 3 rulebooks side by side — a fast one, a medium one and a slow one, each reading a different chart speed.
- It can hold up to 5 stocks at once.
- Its rules allow bets on a fall (a “short”) with up to 80% of the account. So far all 166 of its closed trades were bets on a rise.
- Its average trade lasted 21.9 hours (about 0.9 days). In the last 5 trading days, 26 of its trades opened and closed on the same day.
- Its winners averaged +2.13% and its losers -2.65%, before trading costs.
- How its 166 closed trades ended: 63 were closed by its own sell rule; 38 hit a trailing stop (a stop that moves with the price to lock in gains); 33 ran out of time (the rule's holding limit); 30 hit their stop-loss; 2 sold part of the position at a price target.
Every closed trade
All 166 closed trades, newest first. All dates are 2026, Eastern time. “Bet”: Rise = bought, hoping the price goes up; Fall = a short, betting it goes down. Results are before trading costs. The exit reason is printed exactly as the engine recorded it. It is holding 5 open positions right now (MANE, MTSI, MRNA, TENB, CHDN); they join this list when they close.
| Closed | Opened | Stock | Bet | Result | Dollars | Exit reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | Oct 12 | LITE | Rise | +1.19% | +$135 | sell-signal |
| Oct 12 | Oct 12 | FORM | Rise | +1.14% | +$130 | sell-signal |
| Oct 12 | Oct 12 | T | Rise | -0.96% | −$92 | sell-signal |
| Oct 12 | Oct 12 | WOLF | Rise | -5.00% | −$577 | stop |
| Oct 12 | Oct 9 | MRNA | Rise | +1.18% | +$111 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 12 | Oct 9 | HIMS | Rise | +4.99% | +$479 | time |
| Oct 12 | Oct 6 | CEG | Rise | -1.71% | −$165 | time |
| Oct 12 | Oct 9 | CRUS | Rise | +0.14% | +$17 | sell-signal |
| Oct 9 | Oct 8 | MANE | Rise | +2.65% | +$246 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 9 | Oct 9 | VSXY | Rise | -0.50% | −$57 | sell-signal |
| Oct 9 | Oct 9 | AXTI | Rise | -6.63% | −$639 | stop |
| Oct 9 | Oct 9 | MXL | Rise | -6.20% | −$598 | stop |
| Oct 9 | Oct 5 | LEN | Rise | +0.63% | +$70 | time |
| Oct 9 | Oct 8 | MXL | Rise | +2.85% | +$326 | sell-signal |
| Oct 9 | Oct 8 | AXTI | Rise | +5.08% | +$578 | sell-signal |
| Oct 8 | Oct 8 | VICR | Rise | +1.45% | +$166 | sell-signal |
| Oct 8 | Oct 5 | INTC | Rise | -7.94% | −$776 | stop |
| Oct 8 | Oct 8 | AXTI | Rise | -5.78% | −$670 | stop |
| Oct 8 | Oct 8 | MTRN | Rise | +1.05% | +$121 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 8 | Oct 7 | MTRN | Rise | -4.27% | −$500 | stop |
| Oct 8 | Oct 7 | BMNR | Rise | -2.97% | −$290 | stop |
| Oct 7 | Oct 7 | FCEL | Rise | -1.96% | −$227 | sell-signal |
| Oct 7 | Oct 7 | EME | Rise | +1.06% | +$124 | sell-signal |
| Oct 7 | Oct 7 | TWST | Rise | +2.89% | +$337 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 7 | Oct 6 | AEHR | Rise | -1.22% | −$144 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 7 | Oct 6 | TWST | Rise | -5.00% | −$589 | stop |
| Oct 6 | Oct 6 | AGX | Rise | +0.87% | +$87 | time |
| Oct 6 | Oct 6 | AEHR | Rise | -5.00% | −$595 | stop |
| Oct 6 | Oct 6 | CEG | Rise | +1.57% | +$151 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 6 | Oct 6 | TWST | Rise | +1.41% | +$167 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 6 | Oct 6 | TWST | Rise | -5.26% | −$627 | stop |
| Oct 6 | Oct 6 | ETHA | Rise | -0.16% | −$16 | sell-signal |
| Oct 6 | Oct 6 | MRNA | Rise | +1.17% | +$139 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 6 | Oct 6 | CEG | Rise | +0.67% | +$64 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 6 | Oct 5 | JPM | Rise | +0.24% | +$28 | sell-signal |
| Oct 6 | Oct 5 | QCOM | Rise | +0.82% | +$97 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | NU | Rise | -0.39% | −$39 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | CLF | Rise | -1.52% | −$151 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | STX | Rise | -1.01% | −$100 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | INTC | Rise | +0.51% | +$61 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | TEM | Rise | +0.32% | +$31 | time |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | UMC | Rise | -0.02% | −$3 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | GFS | Rise | +0.64% | +$77 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | AAOI | Rise | -4.56% | −$454 | stop |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | INTC | Rise | +0.99% | +$118 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 5 | Oct 5 | PCVX | Rise | -1.80% | −$179 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 5 | Oct 2 | CAI | Rise | +0.49% | +$41 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 2 | UCTT | Rise | -1.75% | −$210 | time |
| Oct 5 | Oct 2 | MTRN | Rise | -0.22% | −$22 | sell-signal |
| Oct 5 | Oct 2 | AAOI | Rise | +2.36% | +$235 | time |
| Oct 5 | Oct 2 | AMKR | Rise | -0.07% | −$7 | time |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | WOLF | Rise | +0.63% | +$63 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | VSH | Rise | -1.58% | −$157 | sell-signal |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | STX | Rise | +0.94% | +$73 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | NTAP | Rise | -1.37% | −$136 | sell-signal |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | HPE | Rise | +0.74% | +$73 | time |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | ASX | Rise | +0.30% | +$29 | sell-signal |
| Oct 2 | Oct 1 | CAI | Rise | -2.54% | −$301 | sell-signal |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | SYNA | Rise | -0.32% | −$31 | time |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | WOLF | Rise | +1.29% | +$128 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 2 | Oct 2 | APLD | Rise | +1.69% | +$167 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 2 | Oct 1 | RGEN | Rise | +2.30% | +$247 | sell-signal |
| Oct 2 | Sep 30 | BLLN | Rise | -3.45% | −$266 | sell-signal |
| Oct 2 | Oct 1 | TEM | Rise | +1.37% | +$162 | sell-signal |
| Oct 2 | Oct 1 | DKNG | Rise | +1.22% | +$120 | time |
| Oct 1 | Sep 29 | DKNG | Rise | -5.46% | −$439 | sell-signal |
| Oct 1 | Oct 1 | MP | Rise | +1.68% | +$199 | sell-signal |
| Oct 1 | Oct 1 | CRDO | Rise | +2.72% | +$267 | time |
| Oct 1 | Sep 29 | BOOT | Rise | -0.29% | −$28 | sell-signal |
| Oct 1 | Oct 1 | FPS | Rise | +1.07% | +$125 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 1 | Oct 1 | ACN | Rise | +1.57% | +$153 | trailing-stop |
| Oct 1 | Sep 30 | MDB | Rise | -0.56% | −$67 | sell-signal |
| Oct 1 | Sep 30 | MRNA | Rise | +0.06% | +$6 | time |
| Sep 30 | Sep 30 | XP | Rise | -1.59% | −$157 | sell-signal |
| Sep 30 | Sep 30 | MRNA | Rise | -0.89% | −$106 | sell-signal |
| Sep 30 | Sep 30 | VST | Rise | +1.41% | +$168 | sell-signal |
| Sep 30 | Sep 30 | BLLN | Rise | +1.37% | +$162 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 30 | Sep 30 | BLLN | Rise | -4.88% | −$581 | stop |
| Sep 30 | Sep 30 | BLLN | Rise | +1.07% | +$127 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 30 | Sep 30 | SYRE | Rise | +2.27% | +$225 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 30 | Sep 29 | URI | Rise | +3.52% | +$418 | sell-signal |
| Sep 30 | Sep 29 | TTAN | Rise | +2.71% | +$267 | time |
| Sep 30 | Sep 29 | RARE | Rise | -0.32% | −$31 | time |
| Sep 29 | Sep 29 | ARM | Rise | -1.45% | −$143 | sell-signal |
| Sep 29 | Sep 29 | CVNA | Rise | +1.68% | +$198 | sell-signal |
| Sep 29 | Sep 28 | RBLX | Rise | -1.81% | −$213 | sell-signal |
| Sep 29 | Sep 29 | TTAN | Rise | -1.40% | −$138 | sell-signal |
| Sep 29 | Sep 29 | ENTG | Rise | -1.47% | −$146 | sell-signal |
| Sep 29 | Sep 29 | RCL | Rise | -0.85% | −$84 | sell-signal |
| Sep 29 | Sep 29 | CCL | Rise | +1.21% | +$119 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 29 | Sep 28 | FLUT | Rise | +0.26% | +$31 | sell-signal |
| Sep 29 | Sep 29 | AXTI | Rise | +3.71% | +$365 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 29 | Sep 25 | RVMD | Rise | -2.64% | −$183 | sell-signal |
| Sep 29 | Sep 28 | BE | Rise | +6.55% | +$644 | time |
| Sep 29 | Sep 28 | BB | Rise | -1.77% | −$174 | sell-signal |
| Sep 28 | Sep 28 | VSXY | Rise | +2.27% | +$222 | time |
| Sep 28 | Sep 28 | QCOM | Rise | +0.74% | +$87 | sell-signal |
| Sep 28 | Sep 28 | BE | Rise | +1.60% | +$187 | sell-signal |
| Sep 28 | Sep 28 | ARM | Rise | +2.11% | +$246 | sell-signal |
| Sep 28 | Sep 28 | NTES | Rise | +0.41% | +$40 | time |
| Sep 28 | Sep 28 | ARM | Rise | -5.00% | −$592 | stop |
| Sep 28 | Sep 28 | BE | Rise | -5.00% | −$592 | stop |
| Sep 28 | Sep 22 | AZO | Rise | -2.44% | −$293 | sell-signal |
| Sep 28 | Sep 25 | DDOG | Rise | -5.93% | −$705 | stop |
| Sep 28 | Sep 25 | MXL | Rise | +1.59% | +$153 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 28 | Sep 25 | AAON | Rise | +1.35% | +$134 | time |
| Sep 25 | Sep 25 | RRX | Rise | -1.16% | −$116 | sell-signal |
| Sep 25 | Sep 25 | HUM | Rise | +2.45% | +$243 | sell-signal |
| Sep 25 | Sep 25 | FSLR | Rise | +2.73% | +$270 | time |
| Sep 25 | Sep 23 | AR | Rise | -3.42% | −$403 | stop |
| Sep 25 | Sep 25 | SNX | Rise | +1.28% | +$127 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 25 | Sep 24 | TWST | Rise | +2.08% | +$200 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 25 | Sep 24 | RVTY | Rise | +1.20% | +$118 | time |
| Sep 25 | Sep 24 | KGC | Rise | +0.29% | +$28 | time |
| Sep 24 | Sep 24 | RKLB | Rise | -0.94% | −$92 | sell-signal |
| Sep 24 | Sep 24 | ARM | Rise | -0.60% | −$59 | time |
| Sep 24 | Sep 22 | MANE | Rise | -3.41% | −$336 | stop |
| Sep 24 | Sep 23 | DNTH | Rise | +1.49% | +$146 | time |
| Sep 24 | Sep 23 | XENE | Rise | -0.36% | −$35 | sell-signal |
| Sep 23 | Sep 18 | MXL | Rise | +4.71% | +$457 | time |
| Sep 23 | Sep 22 | RMBS | Rise | -0.68% | −$67 | sell-signal |
| Sep 23 | Sep 22 | MPWR | Rise | -2.23% | −$222 | sell-signal |
| Sep 22 | Sep 22 | TTAN | Rise | -1.04% | −$104 | sell-signal |
| Sep 22 | Sep 22 | ESTA | Rise | -1.10% | −$111 | sell-signal |
| Sep 22 | Sep 22 | ABSI | Rise | +1.21% | +$121 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 22 | Sep 16 | FRO | Rise | -10.26% | −$789 | stop |
| Sep 22 | Sep 15 | FPS | Rise | +17.27% | +$829 | time |
| Sep 22 | Sep 17 | SMTC | Rise | +1.32% | +$127 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 22 | Sep 18 | SMR | Rise | +4.80% | +$479 | time |
| Sep 18 | Sep 18 | CLSK | Rise | +1.89% | +$188 | time |
| Sep 18 | Sep 14 | CRWD | Rise | +5.12% | +$598 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 18 | Sep 15 | GH | Rise | +0.24% | +$14 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 17 | Sep 15 | FPS | Rise | +15.99% | +$767 | partial-target |
| Sep 16 | Sep 16 | SMTC | Rise | -0.54% | −$53 | sell-signal |
| Sep 16 | Sep 15 | APA | Rise | -5.32% | −$376 | sell-signal |
| Sep 16 | Sep 16 | TEM | Rise | +0.53% | +$63 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 16 | Sep 15 | TENB | Rise | +0.31% | +$18 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 15 | Sep 15 | CAI | Rise | +1.16% | +$129 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 15 | Sep 15 | TENB | Rise | +0.70% | +$41 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 15 | Sep 15 | GEV | Rise | -1.37% | −$134 | sell-signal |
| Sep 15 | Sep 15 | SITM | Rise | -3.20% | −$314 | stop |
| Sep 15 | Sep 15 | NOK | Rise | +0.97% | +$95 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 15 | Sep 11 | ETHA | Rise | -4.95% | −$595 | stop |
| Sep 15 | Sep 14 | NET | Rise | +0.05% | +$5 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 15 | Sep 14 | GEV | Rise | +1.57% | +$155 | time |
| Sep 15 | Sep 14 | QLYS | Rise | -2.89% | −$171 | sell-signal |
| Sep 14 | Sep 14 | RBRK | Rise | +0.88% | +$86 | time |
| Sep 14 | Sep 14 | TENB | Rise | +9.86% | +$481 | time |
| Sep 14 | Sep 14 | TENB | Rise | +6.73% | +$328 | partial-target |
| Sep 14 | Sep 14 | CDW | Rise | -2.70% | −$263 | stop |
| Sep 14 | Sep 14 | WING | Rise | -3.57% | −$348 | stop |
| Sep 14 | Sep 11 | SMTC | Rise | -8.30% | −$877 | stop |
| Sep 14 | Sep 11 | SANM | Rise | -5.16% | −$623 | stop |
| Sep 14 | Sep 11 | DELL | Rise | -3.00% | −$300 | stop |
| Sep 14 | Sep 11 | LGN | Rise | -5.64% | −$562 | stop |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | V | Rise | +0.24% | +$24 | time |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | QLYS | Rise | -0.70% | −$70 | sell-signal |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | CDW | Rise | -1.68% | −$169 | sell-signal |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | KEEL | Rise | +4.84% | +$484 | time |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | HPE | Rise | +1.37% | +$133 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | HPQ | Rise | +1.86% | +$224 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | WOLF | Rise | +2.36% | +$236 | trailing-stop |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | SWKS | Rise | -1.53% | −$158 | stop |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | KEEL | Rise | -0.56% | −$56 | stop |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | BKR | Rise | -1.61% | −$161 | stop |
| Sep 11 | Sep 11 | AUR | Rise | -1.20% | −$144 | stop |
Questions about Five Stock Expert · Claude
- How has Five Stock Expert · Claude done against the S&P 500?
- As of Oct 12, 2026, Five Stock Expert · Claude is down -4.98% since it started on Sep 10, 2026. The S&P 500 did +2.05% over the same dates, so it is 7.03 points behind. It has closed 166 trades, and 54% of them made money. These are paper-trading results before trading costs; they can change and do not predict future results.
- Is Five Stock Expert · Claude trading real money?
- No. It trades a $100,000 paper account: real market prices, simulated money.
- Which AI writes Five Stock Expert · Claude's rules?
- Claude Opus 5.5 proposes its rulebook rewrites. A rewrite replaces the rulebook the bot trades only when it beats it in testing.
- Can I run Five Stock Expert · Claude myself?
- Not at the moment: not for sale yet — verdict pending.
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