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Super Bot Adaptive · Grok · record

As of Oct 12, 2026, Super Bot Adaptive · Grok is down -3.03% since Sep 21, 2026, against +2.15% for the S&P 500 over the same dates, on a $100,000 paper account — real prices, practice money.

Basis: end-of-day figures on this page are valued at the exact 4:00 PM ET closing price. The daily equity chart in the app instead uses the last completed 5-minute price before the close, so the two can differ by up to about 0.7% (about $700 on $100,000). Both are before trading costs.

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Paper trading · real market prices · trading since Sep 21, 2026 · updated Oct 12, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Part of Grok's bots on the Arena. Its rulebook rewrites are proposed by Grok 4.7.

Super Bot Adaptive · Grok · since start · paper-3.03%
S&P 500 · same dates+2.15%

That's 5.18 points behind the S&P 500 (+2.15%) over the same dates.

About 49% of the account was invested on average (Sep 21 – Oct 13); returns count the whole account, including cash. The S&P 500 is fully invested.

verdict expected ~Nov 2, 2026 (30 sessions)

The goal

A paper twin of Super Bot · Grok that adds extra caution: smaller bets when the market looks shaky, and it drops setups that stopped working. Same learning loop underneath.

What it learns from:

  1. a trade-by-trade review of the day before
  2. its own written notes after the close
  3. the leaderboard of every bot
  4. a weekly review of the best bot
  5. a growing notebook of what worked
  6. proven rules borrowed from other bots — up to 3 a week, and only if they pass an evidence bar

It also writes its own safety rules (for example: "don't bet against a stock that's up 2%+ and still climbing"), and it can go long or short. The idea is a bot that gets better as the evidence piles up. Whether it actually does is the experiment — a goal, not a promise — and the result is published either way. How Super Bot learns →

Since start, in numbers

Since-start return (paper)-3.03%started Sep 21, 56 days after the first bots
S&P 500 over the same dates+2.15%
Share of the account invested, on averageabout 49% Sep 21 – Oct 13; the S&P 500 is fully invested
Trades that won (paper)49% 95 of 194 closed trades
Trades that lost (paper)51% 98 of 194 closed trades; 1 closed flat
Average winning trade+1.3% before trading costs
Average losing trade−1.8% before trading costs
This month-2.72%
This week+0.58%
Today+0.58%
Worst drop from a high since start3.98%
Account value (paper)$96,972
Trading rules3 rulebooks · up to 6 stocks · up to 80% in bets on falls

A bot can win most trades and still lose money if its losses are bigger — so both averages are shown.

Account value, by date

Super Bot Adaptive · Grok (paper)S&P 500, same dates

Both lines start at 0% on Sep 21, 2026, just before its first trade, so +10% means 10% above where it started. One point per daily close, spaced by date.

How it did it

Since Sep 21, 2026, Super Bot Adaptive · Grok has closed 194 trades: 95 finished up and 98 finished down. Its paper account is down -3.03%; the S&P 500 did +2.15% over the same dates. Paper trading on real prices; every figure here is before trading costs.

Month by month

DatesThis bot (paper)S&P 500, same datesTrades closed
Sep 21 – Sep 30-0.32%+0.13%8035 up, 45 down
Oct 1 – Oct 12so far-2.72%+2.03%11460 up, 53 down

Each row runs from the previous row's last daily close (the first from its $100,000 start) to its own last daily close, and the S&P 500 is measured over exactly the same stretch. The market backdrop matters: a rulebook that shines in one stretch can stall in the next.

The 5 biggest winners

StockClosedResultDollars
ALSNOct 12, 2026+1.72%+$414
CRMSep 30, 2026+2.57%+$341
AMDSep 22, 2026+1.03%+$304
GPNSep 30, 2026+1.58%+$258
APAOct 5, 2026+1.70%+$254

The 5 biggest losers

StockClosedResultDollars
AVYOct 5, 2026-2.58%−$709
BPSep 29, 2026-2.95%−$667
KYMROct 5, 2026-4.48%−$644
BHPOct 1, 2026-2.29%−$548
SWKSOct 1, 2026-6.82%−$424

It closed 98 trades at a loss, on average -1.76% each.

Its rules, in plain words

  • Grok writes its rulebooks and proposes rewrites; a rewrite replaces a rulebook only when it beats it in testing. Its rulebooks have been rewritten 19 times since Sep 21, 2026.
  • It runs 3 rulebooks side by side — a fast one, a medium one and a slow one, each reading a different chart speed.
  • It can hold up to 6 stocks at once.
  • Its rules allow bets on a fall (a “short”) with up to 80% of the account.
  • Its average trade lasted 13.7 hours (about 0.6 days). In the last 5 trading days, 40 of its trades opened and closed on the same day.
  • Its winners averaged +1.33% and its losers -1.76%, before trading costs.
  • How its 194 closed trades ended: 81 ran out of time (the rule's holding limit); 46 hit their stop-loss; 38 hit a trailing stop (a stop that moves with the price to lock in gains); 19 were closed by its own sell rule; 8 sold part of the position at a price target; 2 hit their price target.

Every closed trade

All 194 closed trades, newest first. All dates are 2026, Eastern time. “Bet”: Rise = bought, hoping the price goes up; Fall = a short, betting it goes down. Results are before trading costs. The exit reason is printed exactly as the engine recorded it. It is holding 6 open positions right now (VSXY, SMTC, CRDO, LQDA, DOCN, FMC); they join this list when they close.

ClosedOpenedStockBetResultDollarsExit reason
Oct 12Oct 12ASTSFall+1.93%+$13sell-signal
Oct 12Oct 7ALSNRise+1.72%+$414trailing-stop
Oct 12Oct 12LQDARise+0.79%+$15trailing-stop
Oct 12Oct 9CHDNFall-0.71%−$5sell-signal
Oct 12Oct 9CRUSRise+0.31%+$5time
Oct 12Oct 9BABAFall+0.13%+$3sell-signal
Oct 12Oct 9SITMRise-5.96%−$46time
Oct 9Oct 9BKDRise+1.89%+$8trailing-stop
Oct 9Oct 5ROPRise+1.31%+$92sell-signal
Oct 9Oct 8BTDRRise-2.90%−$45time
Oct 9Oct 8ARGXFall-2.66%−$25sell-signal
Oct 9Oct 8AAOIFall-8.13%−$140stop
Oct 9Oct 8COHRRise+5.27%+$119time
Oct 8Oct 8CIFRFall+3.01%+$37trailing-stop
Oct 8Oct 8MANEFall+1.33%+$18trailing-stop
Oct 8Oct 8AXTIFall+1.46%+$34trailing-stop
Oct 8Oct 7BENFall+0.16%+$22time
Oct 8Oct 7FITBFall+0.76%+$63time
Oct 8Oct 8WOLFRise-4.97%−$15stop
Oct 8Oct 8CTVARise+1.42%+$3trailing-stop
Oct 8Oct 8CTVARise+2.20%+$5partial-target
Oct 8Oct 7AKAMRise-2.12%−$378sell-signal
Oct 8Oct 7GTXRise+1.21%+$29time
Oct 7Oct 7GTXRise+1.12%+$27partial-target
Oct 7Oct 7GENRise+1.68%+$114trailing-stop
Oct 7Oct 7WULFFall+0.35%+$11time
Oct 7Oct 7SUNBFall-0.04%−$1time
Oct 7Oct 7ADBEFall-1.07%−$19time
Oct 7Oct 7ASTSFall+0.30%+$2time
Oct 7Oct 7STMFall+0.53%+$4time
Oct 7Oct 7HUTFall+1.11%+$10trailing-stop
Oct 7Oct 7AAOIRise-1.45%−$11stop
Oct 7Oct 7PRAXFall-2.30%−$30stop
Oct 7Oct 7TMOFall-0.69%−$17stop
Oct 7Oct 5JBLRise+0.25%+$18trailing-stop
Oct 7Oct 6WCCRise-2.41%−$221time
Oct 7Oct 6SNOWFall+0.99%+$48time
Oct 6Oct 6TEMFall+2.32%+$32target
Oct 6Oct 6ALLYFall-0.09%−$5time
Oct 6Oct 6TEMFall+1.39%+$19partial-target
Oct 6Oct 6MDLZFall-0.50%−$24stop
Oct 6Oct 6ECHOFall-0.41%−$20stop
Oct 6Oct 6FCELRise+2.98%+$21time
Oct 6Oct 6BRise+0.64%+$31time
Oct 6Oct 6RKLBFall-1.32%−$35stop
Oct 6Oct 6BERise-0.62%−$26stop
Oct 6Oct 6SRERise-0.40%−$19stop
Oct 6Oct 6RRXRise-1.59%−$23time
Oct 6Oct 6ALABRise-0.41%−$3time
Oct 6Oct 6STXFall+1.82%+$9time
Oct 6Oct 6CEGRise+1.51%+$5trailing-stop
Oct 6Oct 6MRVLRise+1.13%+$8trailing-stop
Oct 6Oct 5VFCRise-0.80%−$39stop
Oct 6Oct 5ABBVRise+0.80%+$39time
Oct 6Oct 5CCEPRise+0.51%+$25time
Oct 5Oct 5ECHORise-0.76%−$26stop
Oct 5Oct 5CVS—+0.00%+$0time
Oct 5Oct 5NUERise+0.95%+$46time
Oct 5Oct 5TWSTRise+1.01%+$19trailing-stop
Oct 5Oct 1APARise+1.70%+$254trailing-stop
Oct 5Oct 5IONSRise+0.06%+$2time
Oct 5Oct 5TWSTRise+1.26%+$23partial-target
Oct 5Oct 5FCELRise-0.82%−$23stop
Oct 5Oct 5OKTARise+0.31%+$12time
Oct 5Oct 5RELYRise+0.26%+$6time
Oct 5Oct 5EOGRise+0.62%+$22time
Oct 5Oct 5SRRKRise-1.08%−$30stop
Oct 5Oct 5ALKSRise+0.46%+$12time
Oct 5Oct 5TTERise-0.30%−$15stop
Oct 5Oct 5MELIRise+0.11%+$1time
Oct 5Oct 5WOLFFall-3.57%−$24time
Oct 5Oct 5UMCFall+1.77%+$12trailing-stop
Oct 5Oct 5CHRWFall+4.25%+$28trailing-stop
Oct 5Oct 5MARise+0.60%+$14trailing-stop
Oct 5Oct 5MARise+0.82%+$20partial-target
Oct 5Oct 5BSYRise+1.60%+$10trailing-stop
Oct 5Oct 1AVYRise-2.58%−$709sell-signal
Oct 5Oct 1KYMRRise-4.48%−$644sell-signal
Oct 5Oct 2JKHYFall-0.17%−$27time
Oct 5Oct 2DOCNFall+1.45%+$48time
Oct 5Oct 2ONRise+0.47%+$16time
Oct 2Oct 2SNXFall-0.26%−$11time
Oct 2Oct 2TNGXFall-1.20%−$31stop
Oct 2Oct 2BOOTFall-0.49%−$24stop
Oct 2Oct 2BTIFall-0.05%−$2time
Oct 2Oct 2QGENRise-0.76%−$9time
Oct 2Oct 2GRMNRise-0.61%−$30stop
Oct 2Oct 2MARARise-7.19%−$53time
Oct 2Oct 2ALGMRise+1.39%+$10trailing-stop
Oct 2Oct 2WOLFRise-3.49%−$14stop
Oct 2Oct 1AXPFall-1.21%−$126time
Oct 2Oct 1TSCORise+0.08%+$4time
Oct 2Oct 1BUDRise+0.81%+$40time
Oct 1Oct 1CFGFall-2.07%−$245sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1FISVFall-0.80%−$108sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1MSCIRise-0.16%−$8time
Oct 1Oct 1TEMFall+1.87%+$36time
Oct 1Oct 1MSGSFall+0.20%+$3time
Oct 1Sep 25SWKSRise-6.82%−$424sell-signal
Oct 1Oct 1FDSFall-0.92%−$13stop
Oct 1Oct 1MGMFall-0.60%−$28stop
Oct 1Oct 1INFYRise-3.32%−$9time
Oct 1Oct 1MCKRise-3.62%−$22time
Oct 1Oct 1MPFall+1.79%+$26time
Oct 1Oct 1MSGSFall-1.12%−$12stop
Oct 1Oct 1ITUBRise-1.22%−$131stop
Oct 1Oct 1GWRERise+2.76%+$71trailing-stop
Oct 1Oct 1CIFRFall-1.87%−$14stop
Oct 1Oct 1SNPSRise+2.37%+$6trailing-stop
Oct 1Sep 30KKRFall-1.45%−$159sell-signal
Oct 1Sep 30HIGFall+0.94%+$174trailing-stop
Oct 1Sep 30AJGRise+0.31%+$69time
Oct 1Sep 30BHPRise-2.29%−$548stop
Oct 1Sep 30ABVXRise-1.00%−$175trailing-stop
Sep 30Sep 30ABVXRise-1.37%−$190stop
Sep 30Sep 29CRMRise+2.57%+$341trailing-stop
Sep 30Sep 30APTVRise-0.87%−$175stop
Sep 30Sep 29GPNFall+1.58%+$258time
Sep 30Sep 30SYRERise-4.66%−$32time
Sep 30Sep 30HPERise-2.51%−$19time
Sep 30Sep 30RKLBRise-2.36%−$32stop
Sep 30Sep 29FFIVRise+1.74%+$204trailing-stop
Sep 30Sep 29BURLRise+2.06%+$186time
Sep 30Sep 29HXLRise-0.07%−$2time
Sep 29Sep 29HXLRise+0.61%+$15partial-target
Sep 29Sep 29CBFall-0.58%−$107sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 29MACFall-0.49%−$24time
Sep 29Sep 29AKAMFall-0.61%−$20time
Sep 29Sep 29CPNGRise-1.18%−$155stop
Sep 29Sep 29FCELRise-1.13%−$9time
Sep 29Sep 29AGXRise-1.13%−$11time
Sep 29Sep 29QXOFall+0.55%+$9time
Sep 29Sep 25MPCRise-0.65%−$47sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 29BERise+1.62%+$16trailing-stop
Sep 29Sep 25AGXRise-0.23%−$11sell-signal
Sep 29Sep 28BITIRise-0.40%−$96time
Sep 29Sep 28BPRise-2.95%−$667stop
Sep 29Sep 28ARGXRise+0.16%+$37time
Sep 28Sep 28WFRDFall+0.45%+$11trailing-stop
Sep 28Sep 28WFRDFall+0.62%+$15partial-target
Sep 28Sep 28NWGFall-0.42%−$21stop
Sep 28Sep 28BWAFall-0.59%−$29stop
Sep 28Sep 28MXLFall-1.91%−$13time
Sep 28Sep 28BWXTFall-0.69%−$17stop
Sep 28Sep 28NUFall+0.22%+$1time
Sep 28Sep 28MODFall+1.59%+$16trailing-stop
Sep 28Sep 28ARMFall+1.52%+$10trailing-stop
Sep 28Sep 28CROXFall-1.04%−$18stop
Sep 28Sep 25ZSRise+1.69%+$151trailing-stop
Sep 28Sep 25MARARise+0.61%+$11trailing-stop
Sep 28Sep 25VLORise+1.56%+$130trailing-stop
Sep 25Sep 25CRLRise-0.40%−$20stop
Sep 25Sep 25WMSRise+0.81%+$28time
Sep 25Sep 25HRLFall-0.41%−$21time
Sep 25Sep 25HXLFall-1.30%−$38stop
Sep 25Sep 25AKAMRise-4.71%−$34time
Sep 25Sep 25CRDORise-1.65%−$16time
Sep 25Sep 25ZSFall+3.61%+$27time
Sep 25Sep 25PANWFall-0.94%−$13time
Sep 25Sep 25HUTFall-2.53%−$17stop
Sep 25Sep 25BERise+2.44%+$35trailing-stop
Sep 25Sep 24ENTGRise+6.04%+$138sell-signal
Sep 25Sep 24GENRise-9.50%−$46time
Sep 25Sep 24BPFall+1.22%+$47time
Sep 25Sep 24ARise-1.57%−$78stop
Sep 25Sep 24CSCORise+0.18%+$9time
Sep 24Sep 24COGTRise-0.89%−$21stop
Sep 24Sep 24ORCLRise+1.37%+$19trailing-stop
Sep 24Sep 24RVTYRise+1.91%+$45target
Sep 24Sep 24HPQRise-0.71%−$34stop
Sep 24Sep 24RVTYRise+1.15%+$27partial-target
Sep 24Sep 24RDWRise-2.14%−$35stop
Sep 24Sep 24VFCRise+0.52%+$15time
Sep 24Sep 24BERise+2.66%+$65trailing-stop
Sep 24Sep 24ESIRise-1.11%−$48stop
Sep 24Sep 24GMFall-0.71%−$35stop
Sep 24Sep 24AXONFall-0.63%−$24stop
Sep 24Sep 24FTAIRise-1.05%−$4time
Sep 24Sep 23FLNCRise-4.64%−$157time
Sep 24Sep 23IONQRise-2.34%−$70time
Sep 24Sep 23KVYORise+1.24%+$63time
Sep 23Sep 23UCTTRise+2.20%+$78trailing-stop
Sep 23Sep 22ALLFall-0.07%−$9time
Sep 23Sep 22RMBSFall-1.80%−$200stop
Sep 23Sep 22KRYSFall+1.55%+$210time
Sep 22Sep 22INTCRise+1.34%+$90sell-signal
Sep 22Sep 22AMDRise+0.06%+$5sell-signal
Sep 22Sep 22DKNGRise-2.49%−$90sell-signal
Sep 22Sep 22FLUTRise-2.57%−$92stop
Sep 22Sep 21ACNRise-2.85%−$60time
Sep 22Sep 21INTCRise-1.45%−$66time
Sep 22Sep 21AMDRise+1.03%+$304time
Sep 21Sep 21PRise+2.09%+$22trailing-stop
Sep 21Sep 21SMRRise+1.34%+$14trailing-stop

Questions about Super Bot Adaptive · Grok

How has Super Bot Adaptive · Grok done against the S&P 500?
As of Oct 12, 2026, Super Bot Adaptive · Grok is down -3.03% since it started on Sep 21, 2026. The S&P 500 did +2.15% over the same dates, so it is 5.18 points behind. It has closed 194 trades, and 49% of them made money. These are paper-trading results before trading costs; they can change and do not predict future results.
Is Super Bot Adaptive · Grok trading real money?
No. It trades a $100,000 paper account: real market prices, simulated money.
Which AI writes Super Bot Adaptive · Grok's rules?
Grok 4.7 proposes its rulebook rewrites. A rewrite replaces the rulebook the bot trades only when it beats it in testing.
Can I run Super Bot Adaptive · Grok myself?
Not at the moment: not for sale yet — verdict pending.

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