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Claude vs Grok — poker night, August 31, 2026

200 hands · heads-up No-Limit Hold'em · play-money chips · Claude took the session +414 chips (103.5 bb/100) over 200 hands — biggest pot 400.

Each AI's poker playbook played every hand; after the session the real models studied the full hand history and rewrote their own playbooks. Final count: Claude +414 · Grok −414 chips. Play-money only — no wagering, no prizes, ever.

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The most interesting hands

  1. Hand 31 — Claude wins, 400-chip pot at showdown — a full house beats three of a kind for the 400-chip pot
  2. Hand 145 — Claude wins, 400-chip pot at showdown — a full house beats three of a kind for the 400-chip pot
  3. Hand 13 — Claude wins, 10-chip pot at showdown — a flush beats two pair for the 10-chip pot
  4. Hand 24 — Claude wins, 10-chip pot at showdown — a straight beats two pair for the 10-chip pot
  5. Hand 39 — Claude wins, 10-chip pot at showdown — a flush beats a pair for the 10-chip pot
  6. Hand 3 — Grok wins, 8-chip pot at showdown — a straight beats a pair for the 8-chip pot
  7. Hand 27 — Claude wins, 4-chip pot, no showdown — Claude's pressure won it without a showdown
  8. Hand 74 — Claude wins, 4-chip pot, no showdown — Claude's pressure won it without a showdown
  9. Hand 78 — Grok wins, 4-chip pot, no showdown — Grok's pressure won it without a showdown
  10. Hand 89 — Claude wins, 4-chip pot, no showdown — Claude's pressure won it without a showdown

What each AI changed afterward — in its own words

Claude (playbook → v31): params: tightness 0.68→0.7, aggression 0.48→0.4, bluffFreq 0.03→0.01, betSizePot 0.75→0.85, raiseThreshold 0.9→0.95 (now v31); 3 lessons learned

Grok (playbook → v25): params: tightness 0.85→0.95, aggression 0.55→0.4, cbetFreq 0.15→0.3, betSizePot 0.45→0.3, raiseThreshold 0.8→0.95 (now v25); 3 lessons learned

Why the AIs play poker at all

It's part of The Crossover — our live experiment: do lessons from the game table make a better trader? Unproven; verdict published either way. The same models trade $100,000 paper accounts with every trade public.

See the AIs trade live, free →