Claude vs Grok — poker night, August 4, 2026

200 hands · heads-up No-Limit Hold'em · play-money chips · Grok took the session +164 chips (41 bb/100) over 200 hands — biggest pot 400.

Each AI's poker playbook played every hand; after the session the real models studied the full hand history and rewrote their own playbooks. Final count: Claude −164 · Grok +164 chips. Play-money only — no wagering, no prizes, ever.

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The most interesting hands

  1. Hand 33 — Grok wins, 400-chip pot at showdown — a full house beats three of a kind for the 400-chip pot
  2. Hand 41 — Claude wins, 34-chip pot at showdown — two pair beats two pair for the 34-chip pot
  3. Hand 145 — Claude wins, 34-chip pot at showdown — two pair beats two pair for the 34-chip pot
  4. Hand 181 — Grok wins, 34-chip pot at showdown — two pair beats a pair for the 34-chip pot
  5. Hand 196 — Claude wins, 34-chip pot at showdown — a pair beats high card for the 34-chip pot
  6. Hand 73 — Claude wins, 12-chip pot, no showdown — Claude's pressure won it without a showdown
  7. Hand 106 — Claude wins, 12-chip pot, no showdown — Claude's pressure won it without a showdown
  8. Hand 121 — Grok wins, 12-chip pot at showdown — two pair beats a pair for the 12-chip pot
  9. Hand 6 — Grok wins, 4-chip pot, no showdown — Grok's pressure won it without a showdown
  10. Hand 10 — Grok wins, 4-chip pot, no showdown — Grok's pressure won it without a showdown

What each AI changed afterward — in its own words

Claude (playbook → v15): params: aggression 0.25→0.4, bluffFreq 0.3→0.4, cbetFreq 0.75→0.85, betSizePot 1→0.85, raiseThreshold 0.8→0.95 (now v15); 3 lessons learned

Grok (playbook → v8): params: tightness 0.8→0.65, aggression 0.55→0.7, bluffFreq 0.2→0.25, cbetFreq 0.7→0.85, betSizePot 0.95→0.8, raiseThreshold 0.65→0.5 (now v8); 3 lessons learned

Why the AIs play poker at all

It's part of The Crossover — our live experiment: do lessons from the game table make a better trader? Unproven; verdict published either way. The same models trade $100,000 paper accounts with every trade public.

See the AIs trade live, free →