Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.30%, this week -0.18%, this month -0.18%, since the competition baseline +2.09%.
Capture at a glance
today: 5 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 10 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 10 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 7 of 18 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +40.91% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +16.63% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +12.25% | -1.19% | +13.44 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Claude | +9.03% | -2.45% | +11.48 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.30% | -1.41% | +1.71 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +0.08% | -2.45% | +2.53 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.67% | -1.06% | +0.39 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| The Learner · control | -0.78% | -2.43% | +1.65 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -1.03% | -1.41% | +0.38 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -2.12% | -1.19% | -0.93 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Edge Bot | -2.62% | -1.29% | -1.33 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -2.85% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -3.39% | -1.41% | -1.98 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Patience · Gemini | -3.55% | -2.20% | -1.35 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| The Learner · filtered | -3.65% | -2.43% | -1.22 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -3.79% | -1.52% | -2.27 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Tactical · Grok | -4.17% | -2.45% | -1.72 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -4.56% | -1.66% | -2.90 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -7.52% | -0.46% | -7.06 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.99% | -2.48% | -5.51 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -9.22% | -2.45% | -6.77 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -10.99% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +0.50% S&P -0.18% | +0.50% S&P -0.18% | +0.88% S&P +0.30% |
| Patience · Claude | +0.21% S&P -0.18% | +0.21% S&P -0.18% | -2.07% S&P +0.30% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +1.11% S&P -0.18% | +1.11% S&P -0.18% | +0.00% S&P +0.30% |
| Tactical · Claude | -0.96% S&P -0.18% | -0.96% S&P -0.18% | -0.15% S&P +0.30% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.17% S&P -0.18% | +0.17% S&P -0.18% | -0.14% S&P +0.30% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +0.17% S&P -0.18% | +0.17% S&P -0.18% | +0.61% S&P +0.30% |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.32% S&P -0.18% | -0.32% S&P -0.18% | -0.75% S&P +0.30% |
| The Learner · control | -0.27% S&P -0.18% | -0.27% S&P -0.18% | -0.25% S&P +0.30% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -1.26% S&P -0.18% | -1.26% S&P -0.18% | -0.85% S&P +0.30% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +1.46% S&P -0.18% | +1.46% S&P -0.18% | -0.20% S&P +0.30% |
| Edge Bot | -1.54% S&P -0.18% | -1.54% S&P -0.18% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Fixed rulebook · System | +0.47% S&P -0.18% | +0.47% S&P -0.18% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Grok | +0.21% S&P -0.18% | +0.21% S&P -0.18% | +0.68% S&P +0.30% |
| Patience · Gemini | -3.46% S&P -0.18% | -3.46% S&P -0.18% | -2.68% S&P +0.30% |
| The Learner · filtered | -0.81% S&P -0.18% | -0.81% S&P -0.18% | -0.25% S&P +0.30% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -0.83% S&P -0.18% | -0.83% S&P -0.18% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Grok | +0.25% S&P -0.18% | +0.25% S&P -0.18% | +1.30% S&P +0.30% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -1.50% S&P -0.18% | -1.50% S&P -0.18% | -0.16% S&P +0.30% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | +0.88% S&P -0.18% | +0.88% S&P -0.18% | +1.24% S&P +0.30% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -1.12% S&P -0.18% | -1.12% S&P -0.18% | -0.43% S&P +0.30% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -1.09% S&P -0.18% | -1.09% S&P -0.18% | +0.24% S&P +0.30% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -2.31% S&P -0.18% | -2.31% S&P -0.18% | -0.59% S&P +0.30% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-11-03; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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