Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today -0.48%, this week -0.48%, this month -0.48%, since the competition baseline +1.78%.
Capture at a glance
today: 11 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 13 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 13 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 8 of 18 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +39.69% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +19.09% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +12.25% | -1.49% | +13.74 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Claude | +9.19% | -2.74% | +11.93 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.44% | -1.71% | +2.15 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +0.08% | -1.35% | +1.43 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -0.19% | -1.71% | +1.52 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -0.53% | -2.74% | +2.21 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| The Learner · control | -0.53% | -2.73% | +2.20 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Patience · Gemini | -0.89% | -2.49% | +1.60 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Edge Bot | -1.61% | -1.58% | -0.03 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -1.92% | -1.49% | -0.43 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -2.50% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -3.39% | -1.81% | -1.58 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| The Learner · filtered | -3.41% | -2.73% | -0.68 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -4.05% | -1.71% | -2.34 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -4.40% | -1.95% | -2.45 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Tactical · Grok | -5.40% | -2.74% | -2.66 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.59% | -2.77% | -4.82 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -8.65% | -0.76% | -7.89 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -9.44% | -2.74% | -6.70 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -10.46% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -0.37% S&P -0.48% | -0.37% S&P -0.48% | -0.37% S&P -0.48% |
| Patience · Claude | +2.32% S&P -0.48% | +2.32% S&P -0.48% | +2.32% S&P -0.48% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +1.11% S&P -0.48% | +1.11% S&P -0.48% | +1.11% S&P -0.48% |
| Tactical · Claude | -0.81% S&P -0.48% | -0.81% S&P -0.48% | -0.81% S&P -0.48% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.31% S&P -0.48% | +0.31% S&P -0.48% | +0.31% S&P -0.48% |
| Super Bot · Sol | +0.44% S&P -0.48% | +0.44% S&P -0.48% | +0.44% S&P -0.48% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -0.42% S&P -0.48% | -0.42% S&P -0.48% | -0.42% S&P -0.48% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -0.44% S&P -0.48% | -0.44% S&P -0.48% | -0.44% S&P -0.48% |
| The Learner · control | -0.02% S&P -0.48% | -0.02% S&P -0.48% | -0.02% S&P -0.48% |
| Patience · Gemini | -0.80% S&P -0.48% | -0.80% S&P -0.48% | -0.80% S&P -0.48% |
| Edge Bot | -0.53% S&P -0.48% | -0.53% S&P -0.48% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +1.67% S&P -0.48% | +1.67% S&P -0.48% | +1.67% S&P -0.48% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | +0.84% S&P -0.48% | +0.84% S&P -0.48% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -0.42% S&P -0.48% | -0.42% S&P -0.48% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| The Learner · filtered | -0.56% S&P -0.48% | -0.56% S&P -0.48% | -0.56% S&P -0.48% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -0.47% S&P -0.48% | -0.47% S&P -0.48% | -0.47% S&P -0.48% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -1.34% S&P -0.48% | -1.34% S&P -0.48% | -1.34% S&P -0.48% |
| Tactical · Grok | -1.03% S&P -0.48% | -1.03% S&P -0.48% | -1.03% S&P -0.48% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -0.69% S&P -0.48% | -0.69% S&P -0.48% | -0.69% S&P -0.48% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -0.36% S&P -0.48% | -0.36% S&P -0.48% | -0.36% S&P -0.48% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -1.33% S&P -0.48% | -1.33% S&P -0.48% | -1.33% S&P -0.48% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -1.73% S&P -0.48% | -1.73% S&P -0.48% | -1.73% S&P -0.48% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-11-02; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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