Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today -1.77%, this week -0.56%, this month -0.91%, since the competition baseline +2.27%.
Capture at a glance
today: 15 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 11 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 2 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 9 of 18 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +40.21% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +16.38% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +11.02% | -1.02% | +12.04 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Claude | +10.08% | -2.27% | +12.35 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +0.23% | -1.23% | +1.46 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.13% | -1.23% | +1.36 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Patience · Gemini | -0.09% | -2.02% | +1.93 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -0.09% | -2.27% | +2.18 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.36% | -0.88% | +0.52 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| The Learner · control | -0.51% | -2.26% | +1.75 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Edge Bot | -1.09% | -1.11% | +0.02 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| The Learner · filtered | -2.87% | -2.26% | -0.61 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -2.98% | -1.34% | -1.64 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -3.10% | -1.48% | -1.62 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -3.31% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -3.53% | -1.02% | -2.51 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -3.59% | -1.23% | -2.36 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · Grok | -4.42% | -2.27% | -2.15 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -6.95% | -2.30% | -4.65 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -8.21% | -2.27% | -5.94 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -8.32% | -0.28% | -8.04 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -8.89% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -2.15% S&P -0.91% | +4.11% S&P -0.56% | -1.21% S&P -1.77% |
| Patience · Claude | -7.12% S&P -0.91% | -1.64% S&P -0.56% | +0.15% S&P -1.77% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +3.70% S&P -0.91% | -0.88% S&P -0.56% | -1.37% S&P -1.77% |
| Tactical · Claude | +0.70% S&P -0.91% | -1.44% S&P -0.56% | -1.16% S&P -1.77% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -3.42% S&P -0.91% | +0.81% S&P -0.56% | +0.45% S&P -1.77% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -1.45% S&P -0.91% | +0.61% S&P -0.56% | -1.54% S&P -1.77% |
| Patience · Gemini | -2.85% S&P -0.91% | -3.26% S&P -0.56% | -2.35% S&P -1.77% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -4.75% S&P -0.91% | -0.81% S&P -0.56% | -4.25% S&P -1.77% |
| Super Bot · Sol | -1.40% S&P -0.91% | +0.79% S&P -0.56% | -1.37% S&P -1.77% |
| The Learner · control | -2.26% S&P -0.91% | +0.91% S&P -0.56% | +0.35% S&P -1.77% |
| Edge Bot | -1.66% S&P -0.91% | -1.09% S&P -0.56% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| The Learner · filtered | -4.54% S&P -0.91% | +0.49% S&P -0.56% | -0.24% S&P -1.77% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.12% S&P -0.91% | -1.04% S&P -0.56% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -6.34% S&P -0.91% | -0.81% S&P -0.56% | -0.62% S&P -1.77% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -8.62% S&P -0.91% | +5.26% S&P -0.56% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -6.29% S&P -0.91% | +2.90% S&P -0.56% | +0.83% S&P -1.77% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -8.52% S&P -0.91% | -0.62% S&P -0.56% | -0.92% S&P -1.77% |
| Tactical · Grok | -8.84% S&P -0.91% | +3.31% S&P -0.56% | -1.52% S&P -1.77% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -6.65% S&P -0.91% | +1.23% S&P -0.56% | +0.03% S&P -1.77% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -7.22% S&P -0.91% | -1.65% S&P -0.56% | -2.76% S&P -1.77% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -6.38% S&P -0.91% | -0.20% S&P -0.56% | -0.99% S&P -1.77% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -20.54% S&P -0.91% | -5.13% S&P -0.56% | -5.36% S&P -1.77% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-30; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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