Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.34%, this week +1.62%, this month +1.27%, since the competition baseline +4.52%.
Capture at a glance
today: 9 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 8 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 2 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 6 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +43.68% | +4.25% | +39.43 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +16.85% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +13.22% | -0.12% | +13.34 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +13.15% | +1.16% | +11.99 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +4.32% | -0.12% | +4.44 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · Gemini | +3.33% | +0.13% | +3.20 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +1.62% | +0.93% | +0.69 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Edge Bot | +1.01% | +1.06% | -0.05 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +0.91% | +1.30% | -0.39 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -0.36% | +0.93% | -1.29 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -0.81% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| The Learner · control | -0.83% | -0.11% | -0.72 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.27% | +0.83% | -2.10 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Tactical · Grok | -2.73% | -0.12% | -2.61 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -2.85% | +0.93% | -3.78 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -2.86% | +0.69% | -3.55 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| The Learner · filtered | -3.45% | -0.11% | -3.34 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -4.20% | +1.16% | -5.36 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -4.98% | Unavailable | Unavailable | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -5.80% | -0.12% | -5.68 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -6.95% | +1.91% | -8.86 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.31% | -0.15% | -7.16 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +0.27% S&P +1.27% | +6.68% S&P +1.62% | +2.02% S&P +0.34% |
| Patience · Claude | -6.75% S&P +1.27% | -1.24% S&P +1.62% | -0.84% S&P +0.34% |
| Tactical · Claude | +3.57% S&P +1.27% | +1.36% S&P +1.62% | +0.79% S&P +0.34% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +5.69% S&P +1.27% | +1.02% S&P +1.62% | +1.64% S&P +0.34% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -0.54% S&P +1.27% | +3.57% S&P +1.62% | +1.86% S&P +0.34% |
| Patience · Gemini | +0.48% S&P +1.27% | +0.06% S&P +1.62% | -0.56% S&P +0.34% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.02% S&P +1.27% | +2.11% S&P +1.62% | +0.83% S&P +0.34% |
| Edge Bot | +0.43% S&P +1.27% | +1.00% S&P +1.62% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.15% S&P +1.27% | +2.06% S&P +1.62% | +0.64% S&P +0.34% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -3.99% S&P +1.27% | +0.21% S&P +1.62% | -0.14% S&P +0.34% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -13.50% S&P +1.27% | +3.28% S&P +1.62% | +0.89% S&P +0.34% |
| The Learner · control | -2.56% S&P +1.27% | +0.60% S&P +1.62% | -0.13% S&P +0.34% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | +0.63% S&P +1.27% | +0.71% S&P +1.62% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Grok | -7.23% S&P +1.27% | +5.13% S&P +1.62% | +2.85% S&P +0.34% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -7.81% S&P +1.27% | +0.14% S&P +1.62% | +0.00% S&P +0.34% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -6.10% S&P +1.27% | -0.56% S&P +1.62% | -0.38% S&P +0.34% |
| The Learner · filtered | -5.11% S&P +1.27% | -0.11% S&P +1.62% | -0.07% S&P +0.34% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -6.95% S&P +1.27% | +2.17% S&P +1.62% | +0.16% S&P +0.34% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -10.21% S&P +1.27% | +3.44% S&P +1.62% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Gemini | -4.78% S&P +1.27% | +0.93% S&P +1.62% | +0.38% S&P +0.34% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -4.97% S&P +1.27% | +1.30% S&P +1.62% | +0.09% S&P +0.34% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.01% S&P +1.27% | +0.84% S&P +1.62% | +0.04% S&P +0.34% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-28; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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