Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.56%, this week +1.28%, this month +0.92%, since the competition baseline +4.16%.
Capture at a glance
today: 13 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 7 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 3 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 8 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +40.84% | +3.89% | +36.95 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +17.84% | +4.14% | +13.70 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +12.33% | -0.47% | +12.80 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +11.33% | +0.81% | +10.52 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Patience · Gemini | +3.92% | -0.22% | +4.14 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +2.41% | -0.47% | +2.88 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Edge Bot | +0.88% | +0.71% | +0.17 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.79% | +0.59% | +0.20 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +0.27% | +0.95% | -0.68 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -0.22% | +0.59% | -0.81 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| The Learner · control | -0.70% | -0.45% | -0.25 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -1.69% | +4.14% | -5.83 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -2.01% | +0.48% | -2.49 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -2.49% | +0.34% | -2.83 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -2.85% | +0.59% | -3.44 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| The Learner · filtered | -3.38% | -0.45% | -2.93 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -4.36% | +0.81% | -5.17 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Grok | -5.42% | -0.47% | -4.95 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -6.16% | -0.47% | -5.69 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -6.25% | +4.14% | -10.39 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -7.03% | +1.56% | -8.59 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.35% | -0.50% | -6.85 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -1.71% S&P +0.92% | +4.57% S&P +1.28% | +2.29% S&P +0.56% |
| Patience · Claude | -5.96% S&P +0.92% | -0.41% S&P +1.28% | +0.01% S&P +0.56% |
| Tactical · Claude | +2.76% S&P +0.92% | +0.57% S&P +1.28% | +0.51% S&P +0.56% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +3.98% S&P +0.92% | -0.61% S&P +1.28% | -1.07% S&P +0.56% |
| Patience · Gemini | +1.05% S&P +0.92% | +0.63% S&P +1.28% | +0.63% S&P +0.56% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -2.36% S&P +0.92% | +1.68% S&P +1.28% | +1.90% S&P +0.56% |
| Edge Bot | +0.30% S&P +0.92% | +0.88% S&P +1.28% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -0.80% S&P +0.92% | +1.27% S&P +1.28% | +1.43% S&P +0.56% |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.78% S&P +0.92% | +1.42% S&P +1.28% | +2.06% S&P +0.56% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -3.86% S&P +0.92% | +0.35% S&P +1.28% | +0.74% S&P +0.56% |
| The Learner · control | -2.44% S&P +0.92% | +0.73% S&P +1.28% | +0.96% S&P +0.56% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -14.26% S&P +0.92% | +2.36% S&P +1.28% | +2.13% S&P +0.56% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -0.13% S&P +0.92% | -0.05% S&P +1.28% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -5.74% S&P +0.92% | -0.18% S&P +1.28% | -0.64% S&P +0.56% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -7.81% S&P +0.92% | +0.14% S&P +1.28% | +0.36% S&P +0.56% |
| The Learner · filtered | -5.04% S&P +0.92% | -0.04% S&P +1.28% | +0.50% S&P +0.56% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -7.10% S&P +0.92% | +2.01% S&P +1.28% | +2.05% S&P +0.56% |
| Tactical · Grok | -9.80% S&P +0.92% | +2.22% S&P +1.28% | +2.20% S&P +0.56% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -5.14% S&P +0.92% | +0.55% S&P +1.28% | +1.89% S&P +0.56% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -11.40% S&P +0.92% | +2.06% S&P +1.28% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -5.06% S&P +0.92% | +1.20% S&P +1.28% | +1.10% S&P +0.56% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.05% S&P +0.92% | +0.80% S&P +1.28% | +0.71% S&P +0.56% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-27; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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