Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today -0.52%, this week -0.43%, this month -0.35%, since the competition baseline +2.85%.
Capture at a glance
today: 16 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 15 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 4 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 10 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +34.68% | +2.58% | +32.10 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +18.32% | +2.83% | +15.49 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +12.01% | -0.46% | +12.47 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Claude | +11.69% | -1.72% | +13.41 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · Gemini | +3.27% | -1.47% | +4.74 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +0.72% | -1.72% | +2.44 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Edge Bot | +0.00% | -0.55% | +0.55 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -0.47% | -0.68% | +0.21 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -0.57% | -0.68% | +0.11 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Sol | -1.14% | -0.32% | -0.82 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| The Learner · control | -1.42% | -1.71% | +0.29 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.96% | -0.78% | -1.18 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -2.31% | -0.92% | -1.39 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -2.98% | -0.68% | -2.30 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| The Learner · filtered | -3.34% | -1.71% | -1.63 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -3.96% | +2.83% | -6.79 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -6.24% | -0.46% | -5.78 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -6.67% | -1.72% | -4.95 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Tactical · Grok | -7.48% | -1.72% | -5.76 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -8.08% | -1.75% | -6.33 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -8.14% | +0.28% | -8.42 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -8.14% | +2.83% | -10.97 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -6.01% S&P -0.35% | +0.99% S&P -0.43% | -0.51% S&P -0.52% |
| Patience · Claude | -5.58% S&P -0.35% | +1.21% S&P -0.43% | +0.15% S&P -0.52% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +4.62% S&P -0.35% | +4.30% S&P -0.43% | +0.56% S&P -0.52% |
| Tactical · Claude | +2.18% S&P -0.35% | -2.38% S&P -0.43% | +0.25% S&P -0.52% |
| Patience · Gemini | +0.42% S&P -0.35% | +3.60% S&P -0.43% | -1.22% S&P -0.52% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -3.97% S&P -0.35% | +0.24% S&P -0.43% | -0.09% S&P -0.52% |
| Edge Bot | -0.57% S&P -0.35% | +0.52% S&P -0.43% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -2.04% S&P -0.35% | +1.17% S&P -0.43% | +0.33% S&P -0.52% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -4.20% S&P -0.35% | -1.72% S&P -0.43% | -0.14% S&P -0.52% |
| Super Bot · Sol | -2.17% S&P -0.35% | -0.29% S&P -0.43% | -0.16% S&P -0.52% |
| The Learner · control | -3.14% S&P -0.35% | +1.09% S&P -0.43% | -0.08% S&P -0.52% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -0.08% S&P -0.35% | -0.14% S&P -1.53% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -5.57% S&P -0.35% | -2.01% S&P -0.43% | -0.31% S&P -0.52% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -7.94% S&P -0.35% | -0.40% S&P -0.43% | -0.07% S&P -0.52% |
| The Learner · filtered | -5.00% S&P -0.35% | -0.43% S&P -0.43% | -0.34% S&P -0.52% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -16.24% S&P -0.35% | -6.92% S&P -0.43% | -0.91% S&P -0.52% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -8.93% S&P -0.35% | -0.30% S&P -0.43% | -0.41% S&P -0.52% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -5.66% S&P -0.35% | +0.57% S&P -0.43% | +0.51% S&P -0.52% |
| Tactical · Grok | -11.76% S&P -0.35% | -0.20% S&P -0.43% | -0.49% S&P -0.52% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.79% S&P -0.35% | -0.42% S&P -0.43% | +0.20% S&P -0.52% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -6.19% S&P -0.35% | -1.55% S&P -0.43% | -0.73% S&P -0.52% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -13.19% S&P -0.35% | -0.94% S&P -0.43% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-23; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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