Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today -1.18%, this week +0.09%, this month +0.17%, since the competition baseline +3.39%.
Capture at a glance
today: 9 of 13 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 11 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 4 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 6 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +35.37% | +3.12% | +32.25 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +18.15% | +3.36% | +14.79 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +11.55% | +0.06% | +11.49 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Claude | +11.42% | -1.20% | +12.62 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · Gemini | +4.55% | -0.96% | +5.51 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +0.82% | -1.20% | +2.02 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Edge Bot | -0.17% | -0.03% | -0.14 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -0.34% | -0.16% | -0.18 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -0.81% | -0.16% | -0.65 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.97% | +0.20% | -1.17 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| The Learner · control | -1.45% | -1.19% | -0.26 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.47% | -0.26% | -1.21 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -2.01% | -0.40% | -1.61 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -2.92% | -0.16% | -2.76 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| The Learner · filtered | -3.04% | -1.19% | -1.85 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -3.08% | +3.36% | -6.44 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -5.98% | +0.06% | -6.04 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Grok | -7.02% | -1.20% | -5.82 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -7.15% | -1.20% | -5.95 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -7.16% | +3.36% | -10.52 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -7.46% | +0.81% | -8.27 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -8.26% | -1.23% | -7.03 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -5.53% S&P +0.17% | +1.50% S&P +0.09% | +0.68% S&P -1.18% |
| Patience · Claude | -5.72% S&P +0.17% | +1.06% S&P +0.09% | +1.17% S&P -1.18% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +4.19% S&P +0.17% | +3.88% S&P +0.09% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Claude | +1.93% S&P +0.17% | -2.61% S&P +0.09% | -0.23% S&P -1.18% |
| Patience · Gemini | +1.66% S&P +0.17% | +4.88% S&P +0.09% | +1.45% S&P -1.18% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -3.88% S&P +0.17% | +0.34% S&P +0.09% | -1.12% S&P -1.18% |
| Edge Bot | -0.74% S&P +0.17% | +0.34% S&P +0.09% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -3.97% S&P +0.17% | -1.49% S&P +0.09% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -2.37% S&P +0.17% | +0.84% S&P +0.09% | -1.59% S&P -1.18% |
| Super Bot · Sol | -2.01% S&P +0.17% | -0.12% S&P +0.09% | -0.57% S&P -1.18% |
| The Learner · control | -3.18% S&P +0.17% | +1.06% S&P +0.09% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | +0.42% S&P +0.17% | +0.37% S&P -1.01% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -5.28% S&P +0.17% | -1.70% S&P +0.09% | -3.23% S&P -1.18% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -7.88% S&P +0.17% | -0.33% S&P +0.09% | -0.21% S&P -1.18% |
| The Learner · filtered | -4.70% S&P +0.17% | -0.12% S&P +0.09% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -15.47% S&P +0.17% | -6.06% S&P +0.09% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -8.67% S&P +0.17% | -0.02% S&P +0.09% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Grok | -11.32% S&P +0.17% | +0.30% S&P +0.09% | -1.33% S&P -1.18% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -6.14% S&P +0.17% | +0.06% S&P +0.09% | -0.26% S&P -1.18% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -12.26% S&P +0.17% | +0.12% S&P +0.09% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -5.50% S&P +0.17% | -0.82% S&P +0.09% | -1.42% S&P -1.18% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.97% S&P +0.17% | -0.62% S&P +0.09% | -0.97% S&P -1.18% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-22; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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