Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.53%, this week +1.29%, this month +1.37%, since the competition baseline +4.62%.
Capture at a glance
today: 4 of 14 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 7 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 2 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 7 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +34.46% | +4.35% | +30.11 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +16.78% | +4.60% | +12.18 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +11.68% | -0.02% | +11.70 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +9.77% | +1.26% | +8.51 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Patience · Gemini | +3.06% | +0.23% | +2.83 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +1.96% | -0.02% | +1.98 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +1.63% | +4.60% | -2.97 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +1.27% | +0.79% | +0.48 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.80% | +1.04% | -0.24 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +0.54% | +1.04% | -0.50 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.40% | +1.40% | -1.80 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Edge Bot | -0.51% | +1.16% | -1.67 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| The Learner · control | -1.42% | -0.01% | -1.41 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -2.12% | +0.93% | -3.05 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| The Learner · filtered | -2.49% | -0.01% | -2.48 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -2.72% | +1.04% | -3.76 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -3.75% | +1.26% | -5.01 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · Grok | -5.76% | -0.02% | -5.74 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -6.12% | +2.01% | -8.13 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -6.17% | +4.60% | -10.77 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -6.91% | -0.02% | -6.89 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.37% | -0.05% | -7.32 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -6.17% S&P +1.37% | +0.82% S&P +1.29% | +1.03% S&P +0.53% |
| Patience · Claude | -6.81% S&P +1.37% | -0.11% S&P +1.29% | +0.07% S&P +0.53% |
| Tactical · Claude | +2.16% S&P +1.37% | -2.39% S&P +1.29% | -0.89% S&P +0.53% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +2.52% S&P +1.37% | +2.21% S&P +1.29% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Patience · Gemini | +0.21% S&P +1.37% | +3.39% S&P +1.29% | +1.91% S&P +0.53% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -2.79% S&P +1.37% | +1.48% S&P +1.29% | -0.22% S&P +0.53% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -11.37% S&P +1.37% | -1.50% S&P +1.29% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -2.12% S&P +1.37% | +1.58% S&P +1.29% | -0.56% S&P +0.53% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -0.79% S&P +1.37% | +2.47% S&P +1.29% | +2.72% S&P +0.53% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -3.12% S&P +1.37% | -0.62% S&P +1.29% | +0.16% S&P +0.53% |
| Super Bot · Sol | -1.44% S&P +1.37% | +0.45% S&P +1.29% | +0.43% S&P +0.53% |
| Edge Bot | -1.08% S&P +1.37% | +0.00% S&P +1.29% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| The Learner · control | -3.14% S&P +1.37% | +1.09% S&P +1.29% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -0.24% S&P +1.37% | -0.30% S&P +0.17% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| The Learner · filtered | -4.16% S&P +1.37% | +0.44% S&P +1.29% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Grok | -7.69% S&P +1.37% | -0.12% S&P +1.29% | -0.61% S&P +0.53% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -6.50% S&P +1.37% | +2.35% S&P +1.29% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Grok | -10.12% S&P +1.37% | +1.65% S&P +1.29% | +1.98% S&P +0.53% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -4.13% S&P +1.37% | +0.61% S&P +1.29% | +0.32% S&P +0.53% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -11.33% S&P +1.37% | +1.18% S&P +1.29% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Gemini | -5.89% S&P +1.37% | +0.32% S&P +1.29% | -0.38% S&P +0.53% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.07% S&P +1.37% | +0.35% S&P +1.29% | +0.38% S&P +0.53% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-21; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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