Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.28%, this week -0.87%, this month +1.20%, since the competition baseline +4.45%.
Capture at a glance
today: 10 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 7 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 1 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 6 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +34.76% | +4.17% | +30.59 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +17.53% | +4.42% | +13.11 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +13.33% | -0.19% | +13.52 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +6.25% | +1.09% | +5.16 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +4.26% | +4.42% | -0.16 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +3.53% | +0.62% | +2.91 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +1.29% | -0.19% | +1.48 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +0.68% | +0.87% | -0.19 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Edge Bot | -0.37% | +0.99% | -1.36 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.39% | +1.23% | -1.62 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Patience · Gemini | -0.99% | +0.06% | -1.05 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -1.40% | +0.87% | -2.27 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.81% | +0.76% | -2.57 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Super Bot · Grok | -2.64% | +0.87% | -3.51 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| The Learner · filtered | -2.73% | -0.18% | -2.55 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| The Learner · control | -2.74% | -0.18% | -2.56 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -4.72% | +1.09% | -5.81 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -4.91% | +4.42% | -9.33 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -5.80% | +1.84% | -7.64 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Tactical · Grok | -5.80% | -0.19% | -5.61 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -7.18% | -0.22% | -6.96 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -7.35% | -0.19% | -7.16 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -5.96% S&P +1.20% | -3.27% S&P -0.87% | +1.67% S&P +0.28% |
| Patience · Claude | -6.21% S&P +1.20% | -2.59% S&P -0.87% | +0.70% S&P +0.28% |
| Tactical · Claude | +3.68% S&P +1.20% | +0.48% S&P -0.87% | -1.02% S&P +0.28% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | -0.76% S&P +1.20% | -1.52% S&P -0.87% | -1.78% S&P +0.28% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -9.07% S&P +1.20% | -2.10% S&P -0.87% | +0.31% S&P +0.28% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +0.07% S&P +1.20% | +1.44% S&P -0.87% | +1.19% S&P +0.28% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -3.43% S&P +1.20% | -3.14% S&P -0.87% | +0.60% S&P +0.28% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -2.99% S&P +1.20% | -0.60% S&P -0.87% | +0.43% S&P +0.28% |
| Edge Bot | -0.94% S&P +1.20% | -0.95% S&P -0.87% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Sol | -1.43% S&P +1.20% | -2.62% S&P -0.87% | +0.62% S&P +0.28% |
| Patience · Gemini | -3.72% S&P +1.20% | -2.41% S&P -0.87% | +0.41% S&P +0.28% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -2.96% S&P +1.20% | -1.20% S&P -0.87% | -0.53% S&P +0.28% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | +0.08% S&P +1.20% | +0.19% S&P -0.87% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Grok | -7.61% S&P +1.20% | -3.04% S&P -0.87% | -0.69% S&P +0.28% |
| The Learner · filtered | -4.41% S&P +1.20% | -0.25% S&P -0.87% | +0.91% S&P +0.28% |
| The Learner · control | -4.44% S&P +1.20% | -0.62% S&P -0.87% | -0.02% S&P +0.28% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -7.44% S&P +1.20% | -5.39% S&P -0.87% | +0.48% S&P +0.28% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -10.13% S&P +1.20% | -0.77% S&P -0.87% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -3.80% S&P +1.20% | -1.94% S&P -0.87% | +0.26% S&P +0.28% |
| Tactical · Grok | -10.16% S&P +1.20% | -5.32% S&P -0.87% | -2.07% S&P +0.28% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -6.88% S&P +1.20% | -3.72% S&P -0.87% | -4.34% S&P +0.28% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -6.35% S&P +1.20% | -2.81% S&P -0.87% | -2.15% S&P +0.28% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-15; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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