Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.60%, this week +1.16%, this month +2.09%, since the competition baseline +5.36%.
Capture at a glance
today: 7 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 2 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 1 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 9 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +39.32% | +5.09% | +34.23 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +20.66% | +5.34% | +15.32 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +12.79% | +0.69% | +12.10 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +7.89% | +1.98% | +5.91 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +6.49% | +5.34% | +1.15 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +4.58% | +0.69% | +3.89 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +2.29% | +2.12% | +0.17 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +2.06% | +1.50% | +0.56 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Patience · Gemini | +1.46% | +0.94% | +0.52 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +1.29% | +1.75% | -0.46 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +0.71% | +1.98% | -1.27 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Edge Bot | +0.59% | +1.88% | -1.29 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Super Bot · Grok | +0.42% | +1.75% | -1.33 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -0.21% | +1.75% | -1.96 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · Grok | -0.52% | +0.69% | -1.21 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.99% | +1.65% | -3.64 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| The Learner · control | -2.14% | +0.70% | -2.84 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| The Learner · filtered | -2.49% | +0.70% | -3.19 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -3.59% | +0.66% | -4.25 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -3.94% | +2.74% | -6.68 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -4.17% | +5.34% | -9.51 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -4.67% | +0.69% | -5.36 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -2.77% S&P +2.09% | -4.30% S&P +1.16% | -0.79% S&P +0.60% |
| Patience · Claude | -3.71% S&P +2.09% | -5.65% S&P +1.16% | +0.02% S&P +0.60% |
| Tactical · Claude | +3.18% S&P +2.09% | +3.09% S&P +1.16% | +0.81% S&P +0.60% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +0.77% S&P +2.09% | -0.43% S&P +1.16% | +2.93% S&P +0.60% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -7.13% S&P +2.09% | -7.03% S&P +1.16% | +0.31% S&P +0.60% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -0.30% S&P +2.09% | -0.93% S&P +1.16% | +1.10% S&P +0.60% |
| Super Bot · Sol | +1.22% S&P +2.09% | +2.11% S&P +1.16% | +0.67% S&P +0.60% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -1.35% S&P +2.09% | -2.73% S&P +1.16% | -0.92% S&P +0.60% |
| Patience · Gemini | -1.34% S&P +2.09% | -1.24% S&P +1.16% | +3.10% S&P +0.60% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -2.40% S&P +2.09% | -3.34% S&P +1.16% | +0.74% S&P +0.60% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -2.17% S&P +2.09% | -4.21% S&P +1.16% | -0.71% S&P +0.60% |
| Edge Bot | +0.01% S&P +2.09% | -0.28% S&P +1.16% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Grok | -4.71% S&P +2.09% | -2.59% S&P +1.16% | +0.29% S&P +0.60% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -1.78% S&P +2.09% | -1.87% S&P +1.16% | +0.17% S&P +0.60% |
| Tactical · Grok | -5.12% S&P +2.09% | -3.43% S&P +1.16% | +0.59% S&P +0.60% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -0.11% S&P +2.09% | -0.48% S&P +1.16% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| The Learner · control | -3.85% S&P +2.09% | -4.35% S&P +1.16% | -0.32% S&P +0.60% |
| The Learner · filtered | -4.16% S&P +2.09% | -3.97% S&P +1.16% | +0.11% S&P +0.60% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -3.28% S&P +2.09% | -0.65% S&P +1.16% | +0.18% S&P +0.60% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -1.90% S&P +2.09% | -3.31% S&P +1.16% | +0.99% S&P +0.60% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -9.44% S&P +2.09% | -7.39% S&P +1.16% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Gemini | -3.64% S&P +2.09% | -1.72% S&P +1.16% | +0.01% S&P +0.60% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-09; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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