Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today -0.42%, this week +0.56%, this month +1.48%, since the competition baseline +4.74%.
Capture at a glance
today: 4 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 2 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 1 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 9 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +40.43% | +4.46% | +35.97 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +20.64% | +4.71% | +15.93 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +11.89% | +0.09% | +11.80 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +6.16% | +4.71% | +1.45 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +4.82% | +1.37% | +3.45 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +3.43% | +0.09% | +3.34 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +3.01% | +0.90% | +2.11 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +1.61% | +1.51% | +0.10 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +1.44% | +1.37% | +0.07 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +0.54% | +1.15% | -0.61 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Edge Bot | +0.30% | +1.27% | -0.97 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Super Bot · Grok | +0.13% | +1.15% | -1.02 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -0.38% | +1.15% | -1.53 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · Grok | -1.10% | +0.09% | -1.19 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · Gemini | -1.59% | +0.34% | -1.93 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| The Learner · control | -1.82% | +0.10% | -1.92 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.96% | +1.04% | -3.00 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| The Learner · filtered | -2.59% | +0.10% | -2.69 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -3.76% | +0.06% | -3.82 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -3.94% | +4.71% | -8.65 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -4.68% | +0.09% | -4.77 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -4.88% | +2.12% | -7.00 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -2.13% S&P +1.48% | -3.54% S&P +0.56% | +0.12% S&P -0.42% |
| Patience · Claude | -3.42% S&P +1.48% | -5.67% S&P +0.56% | -2.65% S&P -0.42% |
| Tactical · Claude | +2.39% S&P +1.48% | +2.27% S&P +0.56% | -0.08% S&P -0.42% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -7.32% S&P +1.48% | -7.32% S&P +0.56% | -2.23% S&P -0.42% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | -2.07% S&P +1.48% | -3.26% S&P +0.56% | -2.55% S&P -0.42% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -1.35% S&P +1.48% | -2.01% S&P +0.56% | -0.59% S&P -0.42% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | -0.34% S&P +1.48% | -1.83% S&P +0.56% | -1.44% S&P -0.42% |
| Super Bot · Sol | +0.59% S&P +1.48% | +1.43% S&P +0.56% | -0.89% S&P -0.42% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | -1.00% S&P +1.48% | -3.52% S&P +0.56% | -3.15% S&P -0.42% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -2.93% S&P +1.48% | -4.05% S&P +0.56% | -2.36% S&P -0.42% |
| Edge Bot | -0.28% S&P +1.48% | -0.58% S&P +0.56% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Grok | -4.85% S&P +1.48% | -2.87% S&P +0.56% | -1.26% S&P -0.42% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | -1.73% S&P +1.48% | -2.04% S&P +0.56% | -2.68% S&P -0.42% |
| Tactical · Grok | -5.25% S&P +1.48% | -3.99% S&P +0.56% | -0.73% S&P -0.42% |
| Patience · Gemini | -4.02% S&P +1.48% | -4.22% S&P +0.56% | -2.46% S&P -0.42% |
| The Learner · control | -3.41% S&P +1.48% | -4.05% S&P +0.56% | -0.64% S&P -0.42% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -0.08% S&P +1.48% | -0.46% S&P +0.56% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| The Learner · filtered | -4.10% S&P +1.48% | -4.07% S&P +0.56% | -0.61% S&P -0.42% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -3.44% S&P +1.48% | -0.83% S&P +0.56% | -0.32% S&P -0.42% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -9.22% S&P +1.48% | -7.17% S&P +0.56% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Gemini | -3.85% S&P +1.48% | -1.72% S&P +0.56% | +0.66% S&P -0.42% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -3.02% S&P +1.48% | -4.25% S&P +0.56% | -2.35% S&P -0.42% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-08; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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