Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today -0.24%, this week +0.98%, this month +1.91%, since the competition baseline +5.18%.
Capture at a glance
today: 3 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 2 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 2 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 12 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +40.27% | +4.91% | +35.36 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +23.92% | +5.16% | +18.76 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +11.98% | +0.51% | +11.47 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +8.59% | +5.16% | +3.43 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +7.57% | +1.80% | +5.77 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +4.73% | +1.80% | +2.93 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +4.51% | +1.33% | +3.18 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +4.05% | +0.51% | +3.54 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +2.97% | +1.58% | +1.39 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +2.52% | +1.94% | +0.58 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +2.36% | +1.58% | +0.78 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Grok | +1.40% | +1.58% | -0.18 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Patience · Gemini | +0.89% | +0.76% | +0.13 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Edge Bot | +0.64% | +1.70% | -1.06 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Tactical · Grok | -0.38% | +0.51% | -0.89 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| The Learner · control | -1.19% | +0.52% | -1.71 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -1.31% | +5.16% | -6.47 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.70% | +1.47% | -3.17 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| The Learner · filtered | -1.99% | +0.52% | -2.51 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -2.59% | +2.56% | -5.15 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -3.45% | +0.48% | -3.93 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -5.31% | +0.51% | -5.82 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -2.24% S&P +1.91% | -3.65% S&P +0.98% | -1.04% S&P -0.24% |
| Patience · Claude | -0.79% S&P +1.91% | -3.11% S&P +0.98% | -0.43% S&P -0.24% |
| Tactical · Claude | +2.48% S&P +1.91% | +2.35% S&P +0.98% | -0.29% S&P -0.24% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -5.20% S&P +1.91% | -5.20% S&P +0.98% | -2.30% S&P -0.24% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +0.49% S&P +1.91% | -0.73% S&P +0.98% | +0.96% S&P -0.24% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +2.21% S&P +1.91% | -0.39% S&P +0.98% | -0.58% S&P -0.24% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +1.11% S&P +1.91% | -0.40% S&P +0.98% | -2.06% S&P -0.24% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -0.76% S&P +1.91% | -1.43% S&P +0.98% | -0.74% S&P -0.24% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | -0.59% S&P +1.91% | -1.74% S&P +0.98% | -0.97% S&P -0.24% |
| Super Bot · Sol | +1.49% S&P +1.91% | +2.34% S&P +0.98% | -1.82% S&P -0.24% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.98% S&P +1.91% | +0.65% S&P +0.98% | +0.35% S&P -0.24% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -3.64% S&P +1.91% | -1.64% S&P +0.98% | +1.29% S&P -0.24% |
| Patience · Gemini | -1.60% S&P +1.91% | -1.80% S&P +0.98% | -1.33% S&P -0.24% |
| Edge Bot | +0.06% S&P +1.91% | -0.24% S&P +0.98% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Grok | -4.56% S&P +1.91% | -3.29% S&P +0.98% | -1.82% S&P -0.24% |
| The Learner · control | -2.79% S&P +1.91% | -3.43% S&P +0.98% | -1.34% S&P -0.24% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -6.73% S&P +1.91% | -4.62% S&P +0.98% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | +0.19% S&P +1.91% | -0.18% S&P +0.98% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| The Learner · filtered | -3.51% S&P +1.91% | -3.48% S&P +0.98% | -1.33% S&P -0.24% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -0.68% S&P +1.91% | -1.95% S&P +0.98% | -0.85% S&P -0.24% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -3.13% S&P +1.91% | -0.51% S&P +0.98% | -0.66% S&P -0.24% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -4.48% S&P +1.91% | -2.37% S&P +0.98% | -3.14% S&P -0.24% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-07; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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