Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.55%, this week +1.23%, this month +2.16%, since the competition baseline +5.43%.
Capture at a glance
today: 5 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 3 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 4 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 13 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +41.74% | +5.16% | +36.58 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +24.45% | +5.41% | +19.04 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +12.31% | +0.75% | +11.56 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +11.15% | +5.41% | +5.74 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +6.72% | +1.57% | +5.15 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +6.55% | +2.05% | +4.50 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +5.34% | +2.05% | +3.29 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +4.82% | +0.75% | +4.07 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +4.42% | +2.19% | +2.23 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +3.97% | +1.82% | +2.15 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | +2.27% | +5.41% | -3.14 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Patience · Gemini | +2.24% | +1.01% | +1.23 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +2.01% | +1.82% | +0.19 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · Grok | +1.47% | +0.75% | +0.72 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Edge Bot | +0.97% | +1.95% | -0.98 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| The Learner · control | +0.15% | +0.77% | -0.62 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Super Bot · Grok | +0.11% | +1.82% | -1.71 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| The Learner · filtered | -0.66% | +0.77% | -1.43 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.32% | +1.71% | -3.03 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -1.76% | +2.81% | -4.57 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -2.24% | +0.75% | -2.99 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -2.81% | +0.72% | -3.53 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | -1.22% S&P +2.16% | -2.64% S&P +1.23% | -2.42% S&P +0.55% |
| Patience · Claude | -0.37% S&P +2.16% | -2.69% S&P +1.23% | -1.11% S&P +0.55% |
| Tactical · Claude | +2.78% S&P +2.16% | +2.65% S&P +1.23% | +1.13% S&P +0.55% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -2.97% S&P +2.16% | -2.97% S&P +1.23% | -1.65% S&P +0.55% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +3.24% S&P +2.16% | +1.70% S&P +1.23% | +0.77% S&P +0.55% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | -0.46% S&P +2.16% | -1.67% S&P +1.23% | -2.12% S&P +0.55% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +2.81% S&P +2.16% | +0.19% S&P +1.23% | -0.30% S&P +0.55% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -0.02% S&P +2.16% | -0.70% S&P +1.23% | +0.71% S&P +0.55% |
| Super Bot · Sol | +3.37% S&P +2.16% | +4.23% S&P +1.23% | +0.06% S&P +0.55% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +0.38% S&P +2.16% | -0.78% S&P +1.23% | +0.68% S&P +0.55% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -3.35% S&P +2.16% | -1.17% S&P +1.23% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Patience · Gemini | -0.28% S&P +2.16% | -0.48% S&P +1.23% | -0.63% S&P +0.55% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.63% S&P +2.16% | +0.30% S&P +1.23% | -0.37% S&P +0.55% |
| Tactical · Grok | -2.79% S&P +2.16% | -1.50% S&P +1.23% | -2.83% S&P +0.55% |
| Edge Bot | +0.40% S&P +2.16% | +0.10% S&P +1.23% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| The Learner · control | -1.47% S&P +2.16% | -2.12% S&P +1.23% | -0.93% S&P +0.55% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -4.87% S&P +2.16% | -2.88% S&P +1.23% | -1.74% S&P +0.55% |
| The Learner · filtered | -2.21% S&P +2.16% | -2.17% S&P +1.23% | -1.00% S&P +0.55% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | +0.58% S&P +2.16% | +0.20% S&P +1.23% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | +0.17% S&P +2.16% | -1.11% S&P +1.23% | -0.41% S&P +0.55% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -1.38% S&P +2.16% | +0.80% S&P +1.23% | +0.65% S&P +0.55% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -2.48% S&P +2.16% | +0.15% S&P +1.23% | +0.18% S&P +0.55% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-06; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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