Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.74%, this week -0.22%, this month +0.92%, since the competition baseline +4.16%.
Capture at a glance
today: 7 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 11 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 7 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 16 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +45.58% | +3.88% | +41.70 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +27.89% | +4.13% | +23.76 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +14.55% | +4.13% | +10.42 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +9.41% | -0.47% | +9.88 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +8.36% | +0.81% | +7.55 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +5.56% | -0.47% | +6.03 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +5.14% | +0.81% | +4.33 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +4.93% | +0.34% | +4.59 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +4.79% | +0.59% | +4.20 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | +3.48% | +4.13% | -0.65 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Super Bot · Grok | +3.09% | +0.59% | +2.50 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · Grok | +3.01% | -0.47% | +3.48 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · Gemini | +2.74% | -0.22% | +2.96 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| The Learner · control | +2.32% | -0.46% | +2.78 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +1.70% | +0.59% | +1.11 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| The Learner · filtered | +1.54% | -0.46% | +2.00 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Edge Bot | +0.88% | +0.71% | +0.17 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +0.18% | +0.95% | -0.77 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -0.66% | +1.56% | -2.22 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.51% | +0.48% | -1.99 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -2.96% | -0.50% | -2.46 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -3.01% | -0.47% | -2.54 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +1.46% S&P +0.92% | +0.53% S&P -0.22% | +1.22% S&P +0.74% |
| Patience · Claude | +2.39% S&P +0.92% | +2.06% S&P -0.22% | +1.55% S&P +0.74% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +0.00% S&P +0.92% | -2.52% S&P -0.22% | -0.53% S&P +0.74% |
| Tactical · Claude | +0.12% S&P +0.92% | +5.01% S&P -0.22% | -0.12% S&P +0.74% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +1.23% S&P +0.92% | +1.23% S&P -0.22% | +1.24% S&P +0.74% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +0.68% S&P +0.92% | -0.41% S&P -0.22% | +1.24% S&P +0.74% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +2.61% S&P +0.92% | -2.48% S&P -0.22% | +2.53% S&P +0.74% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +1.51% S&P +0.92% | +1.12% S&P -0.22% | +0.76% S&P +0.74% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +1.17% S&P +0.92% | -0.76% S&P -0.22% | +0.01% S&P +0.74% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -2.21% S&P +0.92% | -6.06% S&P -0.22% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Grok | -2.04% S&P +0.92% | -2.87% S&P -0.22% | -0.83% S&P +0.74% |
| Tactical · Grok | -1.31% S&P +0.92% | -6.30% S&P -0.22% | -0.11% S&P +0.74% |
| Patience · Gemini | +0.20% S&P +0.92% | -0.14% S&P -0.22% | +0.41% S&P +0.74% |
| The Learner · control | +0.67% S&P +0.92% | +0.60% S&P -0.22% | +0.32% S&P +0.74% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.32% S&P +0.92% | +0.80% S&P -0.22% | +0.28% S&P +0.74% |
| The Learner · filtered | -0.03% S&P +0.92% | -0.61% S&P -0.22% | +0.10% S&P +0.74% |
| Edge Bot | +0.30% S&P +0.92% | +0.89% S&P +0.71% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.83% S&P +0.92% | -0.12% S&P -0.22% | -0.61% S&P +0.74% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | +1.29% S&P +0.92% | +0.13% S&P -0.22% | +1.10% S&P +0.74% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | +0.38% S&P +0.92% | -0.41% S&P -0.22% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -2.63% S&P +0.92% | -2.97% S&P -0.22% | -0.63% S&P +0.74% |
| Tactical · Gemini | -2.16% S&P +0.92% | -2.85% S&P -0.22% | -2.70% S&P +0.74% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-02; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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