Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today +0.18%, this week -0.95%, this month +0.18%, since the competition baseline +3.39%.
Capture at a glance
today: 9 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 14 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 9 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 18 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +43.83% | +3.12% | +40.71 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +25.95% | +3.37% | +22.58 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +15.15% | +3.37% | +11.78 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +9.54% | -1.20% | +10.74 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +7.03% | +0.07% | +6.96 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +4.78% | -0.15% | +4.93 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +4.27% | -1.20% | +5.47 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +4.14% | -0.40% | +4.54 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Super Bot · Grok | +3.95% | -0.15% | +4.10 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | +3.23% | +3.37% | -0.14 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Grok | +3.12% | -1.20% | +4.32 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +2.55% | +0.07% | +2.48 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Patience · Gemini | +2.31% | -0.95% | +3.26 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| The Learner · control | +1.99% | -1.19% | +3.18 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| The Learner · filtered | +1.44% | -1.19% | +2.63 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +1.41% | -0.15% | +1.56 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +0.79% | +0.21% | +0.58 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Edge Bot | +0.53% | -0.03% | +0.56 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -0.32% | -1.20% | +0.88 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -1.74% | +0.81% | -2.55 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.98% | -0.26% | -1.72 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -2.34% | -1.23% | -1.11 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +0.24% S&P +0.18% | -0.68% S&P -0.95% | +0.24% S&P +0.18% |
| Patience · Claude | +0.83% S&P +0.18% | +0.50% S&P -0.95% | +0.83% S&P +0.18% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +0.53% S&P +0.18% | -2.00% S&P -0.95% | +0.53% S&P +0.18% |
| Tactical · Claude | +0.24% S&P +0.18% | +5.14% S&P -0.95% | +0.24% S&P +0.18% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | -0.01% S&P +0.18% | -0.01% S&P -0.95% | -0.01% S&P +0.18% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +1.16% S&P +0.18% | -0.77% S&P -0.95% | +1.16% S&P +0.18% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -0.55% S&P +0.18% | -1.63% S&P -0.95% | -0.55% S&P +0.18% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +0.75% S&P +0.18% | +0.36% S&P -0.95% | +0.75% S&P +0.18% |
| Super Bot · Grok | -1.22% S&P +0.18% | -2.06% S&P -0.95% | -1.22% S&P +0.18% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -2.44% S&P +0.18% | -6.28% S&P -0.95% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Grok | -1.21% S&P +0.18% | -6.20% S&P -0.95% | -1.21% S&P +0.18% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +0.08% S&P +0.18% | -4.88% S&P -0.95% | +0.08% S&P +0.18% |
| Patience · Gemini | -0.21% S&P +0.18% | -0.55% S&P -0.95% | -0.21% S&P +0.18% |
| The Learner · control | +0.35% S&P +0.18% | +0.28% S&P -0.95% | +0.35% S&P +0.18% |
| The Learner · filtered | -0.14% S&P +0.18% | -0.72% S&P -0.95% | -0.14% S&P +0.18% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.04% S&P +0.18% | +0.52% S&P -0.95% | +0.04% S&P +0.18% |
| Super Bot · Sol | -0.23% S&P +0.18% | +0.49% S&P -0.95% | -0.23% S&P +0.18% |
| Edge Bot | -0.04% S&P +0.18% | +0.54% S&P -0.03% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Tactical · Gemini | +0.55% S&P +0.18% | -0.16% S&P -0.95% | +0.55% S&P +0.18% |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | +0.19% S&P +0.18% | -0.96% S&P -0.95% | +0.19% S&P +0.18% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -0.09% S&P +0.18% | -0.88% S&P -0.95% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -2.01% S&P +0.18% | -2.36% S&P -0.95% | -2.01% S&P +0.18% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-10-01; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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