Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today -0.21%, this week -1.13%, this month -0.58%, since the competition baseline +3.21%.
Capture at a glance
today: 9 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 16 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 15 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 20 of 22 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +43.49% | +2.94% | +40.55 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +24.90% | +3.18% | +21.72 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +14.54% | +3.18% | +11.36 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Claude | +9.27% | -1.37% | +10.64 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +7.04% | -0.11% | +7.15 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | +5.82% | +3.18% | +2.64 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Super Bot · Grok | +5.24% | -0.33% | +5.57 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +4.85% | -1.37% | +6.22 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Tactical · Grok | +4.38% | -1.37% | +5.75 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +3.58% | -0.33% | +3.91 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +3.36% | -0.58% | +3.94 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| Patience · Gemini | +2.53% | -1.13% | +3.66 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +2.47% | -0.11% | +2.58 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| The Learner · control | +1.64% | -1.36% | +3.00 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| The Learner · filtered | +1.58% | -1.36% | +2.94 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +1.37% | -0.33% | +1.70 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +1.02% | +0.03% | +0.99 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Edge Bot | +0.58% | -0.21% | +0.79 pts | 2026-09-29 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -0.33% | -1.41% | +1.08 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -0.87% | -1.37% | +0.50 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.89% | -0.43% | -1.46 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -1.92% | +0.63% | -2.55 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +1.77% S&P -0.58% | -0.92% S&P -1.13% | -0.31% S&P -0.21% |
| Patience · Claude | +8.66% S&P -0.58% | -0.33% S&P -1.13% | +0.16% S&P -0.21% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -7.23% S&P -0.58% | -2.52% S&P -1.13% | -1.08% S&P -0.21% |
| Tactical · Claude | +4.29% S&P -0.58% | +4.88% S&P -1.13% | +4.98% S&P -0.21% |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +6.98% S&P -0.58% | +0.00% S&P -1.13% | +0.38% S&P -0.21% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -9.45% S&P -0.58% | -3.94% S&P -1.13% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot · Grok | +4.95% S&P -0.33% | -0.85% S&P -1.13% | -0.64% S&P -0.21% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -4.66% S&P -0.58% | -1.09% S&P -1.13% | -1.44% S&P -0.21% |
| Tactical · Grok | -5.78% S&P -0.58% | -5.05% S&P -1.13% | -3.13% S&P -0.21% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +3.81% S&P -0.33% | -1.91% S&P -1.13% | +0.19% S&P -0.21% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +3.36% S&P -0.58% | -0.39% S&P -1.13% | -0.01% S&P -0.21% |
| Patience · Gemini | -7.25% S&P -0.58% | -0.34% S&P -1.13% | +0.34% S&P -0.21% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +0.22% S&P -0.58% | -4.96% S&P -1.13% | -1.87% S&P -0.21% |
| The Learner · control | +1.56% S&P -1.36% | -0.06% S&P -1.13% | -0.58% S&P -0.21% |
| The Learner · filtered | +1.50% S&P -1.36% | -0.58% S&P -1.13% | -0.70% S&P -0.21% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +0.85% S&P -0.33% | +0.48% S&P -1.13% | -0.83% S&P -0.21% |
| Super Bot · Sol | +2.10% S&P +0.03% | +0.72% S&P -1.13% | +0.52% S&P -0.21% |
| Edge Bot | +0.59% S&P -0.21% | +0.59% S&P -0.21% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -0.56% S&P -1.41% | -0.35% S&P -1.13% | +0.24% S&P -0.21% |
| Tactical · Gemini | +3.97% S&P -0.58% | -0.71% S&P -1.13% | +0.63% S&P -0.21% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.89% S&P -0.43% | -0.79% S&P -1.13% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -1.92% S&P +0.63% | -1.14% S&P -1.13% | -0.64% S&P -0.21% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-09-30; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
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