Daily archive · Paper trading
Daily research report
Captured
Captured research report, not a delivery receipt or exact archived email.
Source times and intervals unverified. Read the limits ↓
Market context
The S&P 500 (SPY, Alpaca SIP daily closes) on the scoreboard's standard windows, measured to the close of : today -0.74%, this week -0.74%, this month -0.19%, since the competition baseline +3.61%.
Capture at a glance
today: 9 of 19 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this week: 10 of 21 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; this month: 13 of 21 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500; since they started: 19 of 21 live bots were ahead of the S&P 500. Each bot is compared with the S&P 500 over its own dates. This does not establish a durable edge, explain causes, or show that a bot learned.
Live bots vs the S&P 500
| Paper bot | Since its start | S&P 500, same dates | Difference | Measured from |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +42.55% | +3.34% | +39.21 pts | 2026-07-28 |
| Patience · Claude | +20.97% | +3.59% | +17.38 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Patience · ChatGPT | +17.68% | +3.59% | +14.09 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Tactical · Grok | +9.11% | -0.99% | +10.10 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Fixed rulebook · System | +8.03% | +3.59% | +4.44 pts | 2026-07-27 |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +6.29% | +0.28% | +6.01 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Super Bot · Grok | +5.70% | +0.06% | +5.64 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +4.22% | +0.28% | +3.94 pts | 2026-08-24 |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | +3.95% | -0.99% | +4.94 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +3.28% | +0.06% | +3.22 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +2.31% | +0.06% | +2.25 pts | 2026-09-02 |
| The Learner · filtered | +1.76% | -0.98% | +2.74 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +1.74% | -0.19% | +1.93 pts | 2026-08-31 |
| The Learner · control | +1.66% | -0.98% | +2.64 pts | 2026-09-03 |
| Tactical · Claude | +1.58% | -0.99% | +2.57 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Patience · Gemini | +1.10% | -0.74% | +1.84 pts | 2026-08-04 |
| Super Bot · Sol | +0.77% | +0.42% | +0.35 pts | 2026-09-09 |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | +0.10% | -1.02% | +1.12 pts | 2026-09-21 |
| Tactical · Gemini | -0.19% | -0.99% | +0.80 pts | 2026-08-07 |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.68% | -0.05% | -1.63 pts | 2026-09-08 |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -2.44% | +1.03% | -3.47 pts | 2026-09-10 |
| Paper bot | This month | This week | Today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patience · Grok | +1.10% S&P -0.19% | -1.57% S&P -0.74% | -1.57% S&P -0.74% |
| Patience · Claude | +5.24% S&P -0.19% | -3.47% S&P -0.74% | -3.47% S&P -0.74% |
| Patience · ChatGPT | -4.69% S&P -0.19% | +0.15% S&P -0.74% | +0.15% S&P -0.74% |
| Tactical · Grok | -1.51% S&P -0.19% | -0.75% S&P -0.74% | -0.75% S&P -0.74% |
| Fixed rulebook · System | -7.56% S&P -0.19% | -1.93% S&P -0.74% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Structure & zones · Claude | +6.23% S&P -0.19% | -0.70% S&P -0.74% | -0.70% S&P -0.74% |
| Super Bot · Grok | +5.41% S&P +0.06% | -0.41% S&P -0.74% | -0.41% S&P -0.74% |
| Structure & zones · ChatGPT | +1.94% S&P -0.19% | -3.33% S&P -0.74% | -3.33% S&P -0.74% |
| Tactical · ChatGPT | -5.47% S&P -0.19% | -1.93% S&P -0.74% | -1.93% S&P -0.74% |
| Weather-aware · Claude | +3.52% S&P +0.06% | -2.19% S&P -0.74% | -2.19% S&P -0.74% |
| Weather-aware · Grok | +1.78% S&P +0.06% | +1.41% S&P -0.74% | +1.41% S&P -0.74% |
| The Learner · filtered | +1.69% S&P -0.98% | -0.40% S&P -0.74% | -0.40% S&P -0.74% |
| Moonshot · ChatGPT | +1.74% S&P -0.19% | -1.95% S&P -0.74% | -1.95% S&P -0.74% |
| The Learner · control | +1.58% S&P -0.98% | -0.04% S&P -0.74% | -0.04% S&P -0.74% |
| Tactical · Claude | -3.06% S&P -0.19% | -2.50% S&P -0.74% | -2.50% S&P -0.74% |
| Patience · Gemini | -8.54% S&P -0.19% | -1.73% S&P -0.74% | -1.73% S&P -0.74% |
| Super Bot · Sol | +1.85% S&P +0.42% | +0.47% S&P -0.74% | +0.47% S&P -0.74% |
| Super Bot Adaptive · Grok | -0.11% S&P -1.02% | +0.08% S&P -0.74% | +0.08% S&P -0.74% |
| Tactical · Gemini | +4.69% S&P -0.19% | -0.03% S&P -0.74% | -0.03% S&P -0.74% |
| Astra · composite (frozen ensemble) | -1.68% S&P -0.05% | -0.58% S&P -0.74% | Unavailable S&P Unavailable |
| Five Stock Expert · Claude | -2.44% S&P +1.03% | -1.66% S&P -0.74% | -1.66% S&P -0.74% |
How to read these comparisons
Same dates. Each bot's return runs from the close of its own base day to the close of 2026-09-28; the S&P 500 figure beside it is SPY's close-to-close move over exactly those two closes (unadjusted, so dividends are not included). A bot that started mid-period is measured only from its own start. The difference is the bot's return minus that S&P figure, in percentage points.
Paper accounts. Every bot trades simulated money at real market prices. Returns include open positions and are not a closed-trade win rate. Execution costs, slippage, short borrow fees and model costs may be missing or accounted for separately; paper results can differ substantially from live execution.
Who is included. Only bots that are still trading. The four original AI accounts retired on 2026-09-25 and are excluded. Missing observations are shown as unavailable, never zero. Capture time is not source freshness; the public scoreboard can change afterward. Report dates follow America/New_York. Consult bot analytics for account windows, trade samples and methodology.
Long and short results
Long-side and short-side win rates, closed-trade sample counts and cost-adjusted returns are unavailable in this daily capture. Holdings symbols do not identify position direction. No win rate or long/short comparison is inferred here. See individual bot analytics for recorded side-specific evidence and its coverage.
Research takeaway
Use this capture to ask which results persist across later sessions, comparable windows, changing market conditions and costs. A rewrite or a winning day is not evidence of improvement by itself. Longer records and controlled comparisons are needed to assess that question.
Follow the research
Get the free daily email to follow future reports, or read the free Runner walkthrough to inspect a starter rulebook on your own computer.
The Runner is separate from the hosted research system. A downloaded rulebook does not reproduce the bots’ public records.